mPlus엠플러스
259630 · KOSDAQ · ₩259630 · 엠플러스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩18,407
vs the current price (₩8,820)
- Enterprise value
- ₩135B
- Equity value
- ₩225B
- WACC
- 7.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 109% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,820, the model needs an operating margin of 1.5% every year (it uses 4.9%).
- Margins ranged from −18.3% to 13.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 32% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 4.2× against a typical 8.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩11,328
- +28.4%
- Base
- ₩18,407
- +108.7%
- Bull
- ₩30,674
- +247.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.9%).
Revenue growth
- 16.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 13.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.64
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.46, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩184B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩84B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩5.6B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 12,222,396
- Share price
- ₩8,820
- Market cap
- ₩108B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩340B | ₩129B | ₩184B | ₩215B | ₩243B | ₩267B | ₩284B | ₩292B |
| Growth | 191.6% | −62.1% | 43.1% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩24B | ₩10B | ₩25B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| EBIT margin | 7.0% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩17B | ₩7.3B | ₩18B | ₩7.6B | ₩8.6B | ₩9.5B | ₩10B | ₩10B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩9B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| − Capital spending | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩4.4B | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| − Working capital | −₩88B | ₩52B | −₩53B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩990M | ₩716M | ₩357M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4B | ₩4.8B | ₩5.5B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.930 | 0.864 | 0.804 | 0.747 | 0.695 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3.7B | ₩4.1B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.7B |
Terminal value ₩164B, worth ₩114B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,580 a share)Now 0.92× | ₩10,5611.10× | ₩18,3561.92× | ₩34,7353.63× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,114 a share)Now 4.17× | ₩9,4004.45× | ₩17,9568.49× | ₩25,92112.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,189 a share)Now 7.42× | ₩5,2874.45× | ₩10,1008.49× | ₩14,58012.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | ₩18,942 | ₩19,890 | ₩21,046 | ₩22,485 | ₩24,330 |
| 7.1% | ₩17,899 | ₩18,671 | ₩19,595 | ₩20,721 | ₩22,123 |
| 7.6% | ₩17,018 | ₩17,655 | ₩18,407 | ₩19,307 | ₩20,404 |
| 8.1% | ₩16,263 | ₩16,797 | ₩17,418 | ₩18,150 | ₩19,027 |
| 8.6% | ₩15,609 | ₩16,061 | ₩16,581 | ₩17,186 | ₩17,900 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩108B
- Enterprise value
- ₩23B
- P/E
- 4.2×
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,820 | ₩7,700 | ₩11,540 | ₩9,640 | ₩17,150 |
| Market cap | ₩144B | ₩94B | ₩141B | ₩118B | ₩210B |
| P/E | 7.0× | 8.6× | 7.1× | — | — |
| P/B | 1.4× | 1.1× | 1.9× | 2.1× | 4.0× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 1.0× | 2.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.7% | 1.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mPlus | 4.2× | 0.9× | 0.6× | — | 2.3% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 1,116.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: mPlus / 엠플러스 / 259630 / KRX:259630
Source: KRX statistical information