Genians지니언스
263860 · KOSDAQ · ₩263860 · 지니언스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩21,016
vs the current price (₩21,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩147B
- Equity value
- ₩191B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩15,440
- −26.5%
- Base
- ₩21,016
- +0.1%
- Bull
- ₩30,177
- +43.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (17.8%).
Revenue growth
- 8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 17.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 9.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.2, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩53B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩37B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩6.7B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 9,079,600
- Share price
- ₩21,000
- Market cap
- ₩191B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩43B | ₩50B | ₩48B | ₩57B | ₩61B | ₩64B | ₩67B | ₩69B |
| Growth | 11.5% | 15.7% | −2.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.5B | ₩9.8B | ₩7B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| EBIT margin | 15.1% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.7B | ₩7.1B | ₩5.1B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.8B | ₩8.2B | ₩8.6B | ₩8.8B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩511M | ₩545M | ₩575M | ₩599M | ₩617M |
| − Capital spending | ₩966M | ₩227M | ₩312M | ₩624M | ₩666M | ₩702M | ₩732M | ₩754M |
| − Working capital | −₩28B | ₩2.9B | −₩1.5B | ₩395M | ₩357M | ₩313M | ₩252M | ₩188M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.8B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.8B | ₩8.2B | ₩8.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6.3B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.2B | ₩6B |
Terminal value ₩166B, worth ₩116B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,084 a share)Now 2.96× | ₩12,4281.75× | ₩15,6242.21× | ₩21,6623.06× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,140 a share)Now 18.4× | ₩13,28111.7× | ₩16,77714.7× | ₩20,85118.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,177 a share)Now 17.8× | ₩13,71211.7× | ₩17,32114.7× | ₩21,52718.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩21,694 | ₩23,096 | ₩24,823 | ₩26,998 | ₩29,826 |
| 6.8% | ₩20,214 | ₩21,350 | ₩22,722 | ₩24,409 | ₩26,537 |
| 7.3% | ₩18,968 | ₩19,904 | ₩21,016 | ₩22,357 | ₩24,007 |
| 7.8% | ₩17,905 | ₩18,687 | ₩19,603 | ₩20,689 | ₩22,000 |
| 8.3% | ₩16,988 | ₩17,648 | ₩18,413 | ₩19,308 | ₩20,371 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩191B
- Enterprise value
- ₩154B
- P/E
- 18.4×
- P/B
- 3.0×
- P/S
- 3.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩18,650 | ₩9,330 | ₩12,610 | ₩8,220 | ₩12,700 |
| Market cap | ₩169B | ₩85B | ₩114B | ₩75B | ₩115B |
| P/E | 22.6× | 7.8× | 18.3× | 10.4× | 18.7× |
| P/B | 2.7× | 1.5× | 2.3× | 1.6× | 2.8× |
| P/S | 3.5× | 1.7× | 2.7× | 1.9× | 3.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.6% | 2.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genians | 18.4× | 3.0× | 3.6× | — | 1.4% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 46.8× | 4.7× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 6.9× | 1.2× | 2.0× | 8.3× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.0× | 3.0× | 5.1× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.7× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Genians / 지니언스 / 263860 / KRX:263860
Source: KRX statistical information