Genians

263860 · KOSDAQ · ₩263860 · 지니언스

₩21,000▲ ₩1,550 (7.97%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩21,016

vs the current price (₩21,000)

Enterprise value
₩147B
Equity value
₩191B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩15,440
−26.5%
Base
₩21,016
+0.1%
Bull
₩30,177
+43.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (17.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 17.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 9.4%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.2, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩53B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩37B
+ Stakes and investments
₩6.7B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
9,079,600
Share price
₩21,000
Market cap
₩191B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩43B₩50B₩48B₩57B₩61B₩64B₩67B₩69B
Growth11.5%15.7%−2.5%8.0%6.7%5.5%4.2%3.0%
EBIT₩6.5B₩9.8B₩7B₩10B₩11B₩11B₩12B₩12B
EBIT margin15.1%19.8%14.5%17.8%17.8%17.8%17.8%17.8%
After-tax EBIT₩4.7B₩7.1B₩5.1B₩7.3B₩7.8B₩8.2B₩8.6B₩8.8B
+ Depreciation———₩511M₩545M₩575M₩599M₩617M
− Capital spending₩966M₩227M₩312M₩624M₩666M₩702M₩732M₩754M
− Working capital−₩28B₩2.9B−₩1.5B₩395M₩357M₩313M₩252M₩188M
Free cash flow———₩6.8B₩7.3B₩7.8B₩8.2B₩8.5B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value———₩6.3B₩6.4B₩6.3B₩6.2B₩6B

Terminal value ₩166B, worth ₩116B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,084 a share)Now 2.96×₩12,4281.75×₩15,6242.21×₩21,6623.06×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,140 a share)Now 18.4×₩13,28111.7×₩16,77714.7×₩20,85118.3×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,177 a share)Now 17.8×₩13,71211.7×₩17,32114.7×₩21,52718.3×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩21,694₩23,096₩24,823₩26,998₩29,826
6.8%₩20,214₩21,350₩22,722₩24,409₩26,537
7.3%₩18,968₩19,904₩21,016₩22,357₩24,007
7.8%₩17,905₩18,687₩19,603₩20,689₩22,000
8.3%₩16,988₩17,648₩18,413₩19,308₩20,371

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩191B
Enterprise value
₩154B
P/E
18.4×
P/B
3.0×
P/S
3.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.4%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩18,650₩9,330₩12,610₩8,220₩12,700
Market cap₩169B₩85B₩114B₩75B₩115B
P/E22.6×7.8×18.3×10.4×18.7×
P/B2.7×1.5×2.3×1.6×2.8×
P/S3.5×1.7×2.7×1.9×3.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.6%2.7%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Genians18.4×3.0×3.6×—1.4%
Hyundai Autoever46.8×4.7×2.0×—0.6%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC6.9×1.2×2.0×8.3×0.6%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.0×3.0×5.1×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.4×1.5×2.0×6.7×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Genians / 지니언스 / 263860 / KRX:263860

Source: KRX statistical information