Ubiquoss

264450 · KOSDAQ · ₩264450 · 유비쿼스

₩10,420▲ ₩140 (1.36%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩23,307

vs the current price (₩10,420)

Enterprise value
₩271B
Equity value
₩342B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 124% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩10,420, the model needs an operating margin of 7.1% every year (it uses 20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from 11.9% to 22.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 39% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 4.7× against a typical 6.1× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩17,343
+66.4%
Base
₩23,307
+123.7%
Bull
₩33,232
+218.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -4.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.28, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩122B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩71B
+ Stakes and investments
₩360M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩50M
Shares
14,665,493
Share price
₩10,420
Market cap
₩153B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩150B₩104B₩116B₩116B₩113B₩112B₩114B₩117B
Growth12.4%−30.9%12.2%−4.5%−2.6%−0.8%1.1%3.0%
EBIT₩29B₩12B₩23B₩23B₩23B₩22B₩23B₩23B
EBIT margin19.3%11.9%19.8%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0%
After-tax EBIT₩21B₩9B₩17B₩17B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩17B
+ Depreciation₩2.9B₩2.9B₩2.7B₩2.7B₩2.6B₩2.6B₩2.6B₩2.7B
− Capital spending———₩4.7B₩4.5B₩4.5B₩4.5B₩4.7B
− Working capital₩43B−₩55B₩22B−₩2.2B−₩1.2B−₩363M₩494M₩1.4B
Free cash flow———₩17B₩16B₩15B₩14B₩14B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———₩16B₩14B₩12B₩11B₩9.5B

Terminal value ₩299B, worth ₩209B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩14,040 a share)Now 0.74×₩9,8240.70×₩13,2520.94×₩23,2731.66×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,219 a share)Now 4.69×₩11,5035.18×₩13,5966.13×₩16,5977.48×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,731 a share)Now 3.82×₩14,1545.18×₩16,7306.13×₩20,4237.48×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩24,393₩25,795₩27,514₩29,672₩32,466
6.9%₩22,718₩23,842₩25,195₩26,853₩28,935
7.4%₩21,306₩22,223₩23,307₩24,611₩26,211
7.9%₩20,100₩20,857₩21,741₩22,787₩24,044
8.4%₩19,058₩19,691₩20,420₩21,272₩22,281

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩153B
Enterprise value
₩82B
P/E
4.7×
P/B
0.7×
P/S
1.3×
EV/EBITDA
2.8×
Dividend yield
4.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩9,700₩8,000₩10,833₩9,800₩15,167
Market cap₩142B₩117B₩159B₩144B₩222B
P/E5.9×5.5×6.1×6.7×7.7×
P/B0.7×0.7×1.0×1.0×1.7×
P/S1.2×1.1×1.1×1.1×1.6×
EV/EBITDA2.3×2.2×4.4×4.0×5.7×
Dividend yield4.8%2.1%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Ubiquoss4.7×0.7×1.3×2.8×4.5%
Samsung Electronics9.1×2.4×2.8×—0.7%
LG Electronics24.3×0.9×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Vision20.8×2.6×1.3×—0.0%
RFHIC41.5×3.7×6.8×—0.8%
KMW—5.3×8.6×—0.0%
Intellian Technologies13.9×2.1×1.7×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)20.8×2.5×2.2×—0.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Ubiquoss / 유비쿼스 / 264450 / KRX:264450

Source: KRX statistical information