Redwoods

266170 · KONEX · ₩266170 · 레드우즈

₩1,050 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩956,479
Equity value
−₩16B
WACC
4.9%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-100% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-100% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-100% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-100% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-100% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 14.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 18.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 1.97

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 2.45, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (FY 2025)
₩215,008
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩16B
Shares
1,301,040
Share price
₩1,050
Market cap
₩1.4B

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩837M₩215,008₩193,507₩180,542₩174,223₩173,875₩179,091
Growth—−100.0%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩1.9B−₩756M−₩38,701−₩36,108−₩34,845−₩34,775−₩35,818
EBIT margin−232.0%−351,636.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.4B−₩548M−₩28,059−₩26,179−₩25,262−₩25,212−₩25,968
+ Depreciation——₩28,446₩26,540₩25,611₩25,560₩26,326
− Capital spending₩308M₩0₩35,605₩33,220₩32,057₩31,993₩32,953
− Working capital—₩20B−₩8,600−₩5,186−₩2,528−₩139₩2,086
Free cash flow——−₩26,618−₩27,673−₩29,181−₩31,506−₩34,681
Discount factor——0.9530.9090.8660.8250.787
Present value——−₩25,371−₩25,142−₩25,270−₩26,006−₩27,286

Terminal value −₩1.1M, worth −₩827,403 today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.9%—————
4.4%—————
4.9%—————
5.4%—————
5.9%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.4B
Enterprise value
₩18B
P/E
—
P/B
8.6×
P/S
6,353.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252023
Price₩3,420₩6,960
Market cap₩4.4B₩9.1B
P/E——
P/B27.9×—
P/S20,694.8×10.8×
EV/EBITDA——
Dividend yield0.0%—

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Redwoods—8.6×6,353.7×—0.0%
HYBE—2.1×2.0×—0.3%
SM Entertainment13.8×1.8×1.4×—2.0%
JYP Entertainment12.6×2.1×1.6×7.0×2.3%
CJ CGV—1.1×0.3×—0.0%
YG Entertainment21.9×1.4×1.2×—0.8%
Studio Dragon21.7×0.9×1.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)17.8×1.6×1.3×7.0×0.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Redwoods / 레드우즈 / 266170 / KRX:266170

Source: KRX statistical information