HD Hyundai Electric

267260 · KOSPI · ₩267260 · HD현대일렉트릭

₩462,500▲ ₩12,500 (2.78%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩315,226

vs the current price (₩462,500)

Enterprise value
₩11T
Equity value
₩11T
WACC
9.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩217,868
−52.9%
Base
₩315,226
−31.8%
Bull
₩462,666
0.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Start from

Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (15.6%).

Revenue growth

  • 24.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (24.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (24.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 13.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (24.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (24.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (24.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 15.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 12.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.91

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.87, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩4.3T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩806B
+ Stakes and investments
₩6.1B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩3.3B
Shares
36,047,135
Share price
₩462,500
Market cap
₩17T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩2.7T₩3.3T₩4.1T₩5.4T₩6.5T₩7.3T₩8T₩8.2T
Growth28.4%22.9%22.8%24.7%19.3%13.8%8.4%3.0%
EBIT₩315B₩669B₩995B₩844B₩1T₩1.1T₩1.2T₩1.3T
EBIT margin11.7%20.1%24.4%15.6%15.6%15.6%15.6%15.6%
After-tax EBIT₩229B₩485B₩722B₩612B₩730B₩830B₩900B₩927B
+ Depreciation———₩195B₩232B₩264B₩287B₩295B
− Capital spending₩89B₩137B₩242B₩238B₩284B₩323B₩350B₩361B
− Working capital₩344B−₩421B−₩254B₩138B₩135B₩115B₩80B₩31B
Free cash flow———₩430B₩543B₩657B₩757B₩831B
Discount factor———0.9160.8400.7700.7050.647
Present value———₩394B₩456B₩506B₩534B₩537B

Terminal value ₩13T, worth ₩8.1T today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩62,557 a share)Now 7.39×₩76,2451.22×₩438,4487.01×₩982,63815.7×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩23,602 a share)Now 19.6×₩280,01711.9×₩682,45628.9×₩1,068,91745.3×
P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩20,340 a share)Now 22.7×₩241,31711.9×₩588,13628.9×₩921,18645.3×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
8.1%₩328,341₩345,963₩366,453₩390,575₩419,395
8.6%₩306,757₩321,700₩338,888₩358,872₩382,399
9.1%₩287,861₩300,651₩315,226₩331,991₩351,483
9.6%₩271,184₩282,222₩294,697₩308,914₩325,266
10.1%₩256,359₩265,954₩276,721₩288,891₩302,758

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩17T
Enterprise value
₩16T
P/E
19.6×
P/B
7.4×
P/S
3.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩774,000₩382,000₩82,200₩42,500₩19,900
Market cap₩28T₩14T₩3T₩1.5T₩717B
P/E38.1×27.5×11.4×9.4×—
P/B13.8×9.2×2.8×1.9×1.1×
P/S6.8×4.1×1.1×0.7×0.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
HD Hyundai Electric19.6×7.4×3.8×—0.0%
LS Electric63.5×11.6×4.3×39.3×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries31.8×7.2×2.9×—0.4%
Gaon Cable117.0×14.2×2.6×61.1×0.0%
Sanil Electric27.9×7.6×8.5×—0.8%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.3×1.0×—0.0%
Iljin Electric20.0×4.3×1.3×—0.8%
Similar companies (median)31.8×7.4×2.8×50.2×0.2%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: HD Hyundai Electric / HD현대일렉트릭 / 267260 / KRX:267260

Source: KRX statistical information