Asiana IDT아시아나IDT
267850 · KOSPI · ₩267850 · 아시아나IDT
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩24,192
vs the current price (₩8,970)
- Enterprise value
- ₩131B
- Equity value
- ₩269B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 170% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,970, the model needs an operating margin of −1.4% every year (it uses 5.2%).
- 49% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 7.1× against a typical 12.7× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩17,699
- +97.3%
- Base
- ₩24,192
- +169.7%
- Bull
- ₩35,506
- +295.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.2%).
Revenue growth
- 2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.21, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩179B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩104B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩34B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 11,100,000
- Share price
- ₩8,970
- Market cap
- ₩100B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩188B | ₩194B | ₩194B | ₩183B | ₩187B | ₩192B | ₩198B | ₩204B |
| Growth | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩9.1B | ₩9.2B | ₩12B | ₩9.5B | ₩9.7B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| EBIT margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩6.6B | ₩6.7B | ₩8.8B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩914M | ₩937M | ₩961M | ₩988M | ₩1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩757M | ₩1.4B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| − Working capital | −₩29B | ₩1.5B | ₩486M | ₩16M | ₩18M | ₩19M | ₩22M | ₩24M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.7B | ₩6.9B | ₩7B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.4B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6.2B | ₩6B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.2B |
Terminal value ₩145B, worth ₩102B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩15,889 a share)Now 0.56× | ₩10,3320.65× | ₩15,1870.96× | ₩20,5611.29× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,262 a share)Now 7.11× | ₩9,2807.35× | ₩16,04812.7× | ₩30,21123.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,786 a share)Now 5.02× | ₩13,1357.35× | ₩22,71512.7× | ₩42,76223.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩24,620 | ₩25,660 | ₩26,941 | ₩28,558 | ₩30,665 |
| 6.8% | ₩23,559 | ₩24,403 | ₩25,423 | ₩26,680 | ₩28,267 |
| 7.3% | ₩22,666 | ₩23,363 | ₩24,192 | ₩25,192 | ₩26,425 |
| 7.8% | ₩21,905 | ₩22,488 | ₩23,172 | ₩23,985 | ₩24,967 |
| 8.3% | ₩21,248 | ₩21,742 | ₩22,315 | ₩22,986 | ₩23,783 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩100B
- Enterprise value
- −₩11B
- P/E
- 7.1×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,380 | ₩12,020 | ₩19,450 | ₩15,900 | ₩18,100 |
| Market cap | ₩126B | ₩133B | ₩216B | ₩176B | ₩201B |
| P/E | 10.0× | 11.3× | 19.7× | 20.5× | 7.6× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.8× | 1.3× | 1.1× | 1.3× |
| P/S | 0.7× | 0.7× | 1.1× | 1.0× | 1.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.4% | 4.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asiana IDT | 7.1× | 0.6× | 0.6× | — | 5.6% |
| Samsung SDS | 24.2× | 1.5× | 1.1× | — | 1.6% |
| LG CNS | 14.5× | 2.3× | 1.1× | — | 2.6% |
| Itcenglobal | 6.7× | 2.9× | 0.0× | — | 0.0% |
| DB | 6.7× | 0.9× | 0.6× | 15.7× | 0.0% |
| Lotte Innovate | 14.9× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 4.1% |
| Contec | 20.8× | 1.6× | 2.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.7× | 1.6× | 0.9× | 15.7× | 0.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Asiana IDT / 아시아나IDT / 267850 / KRX:267850
Source: KRX statistical information