Aptn

270520 · KOSDAQ · ₩270520 · 앱튼

₩620▲ ₩10 (1.64%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩54B
Equity value
−₩119B
WACC
7.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩620, the model needs an operating margin of 48.3% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −69.4% to −4.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 30.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 38.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -3.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 2

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 4.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩15B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩65B
Shares
40,026,914
Share price
₩620
Market cap
₩25B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩20B₩18B₩17B₩15B₩15B₩15B₩16B₩16B
Growth16.2%−10.0%−8.1%−1.3%−0.2%0.9%1.9%3.0%
EBIT−₩6.5B−₩13B−₩11B−₩3B−₩3B−₩3.1B−₩3.1B−₩3.2B
EBIT margin−32.1%−69.4%−66.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩4.7B−₩9.2B−₩8.1B−₩2.2B−₩2.2B−₩2.2B−₩2.3B−₩2.3B
+ Depreciation———₩4.7B₩4.6B₩4.7B₩4.8B₩4.9B
− Capital spending₩4.1B₩511M₩16B₩5.8B₩5.8B₩5.9B₩6B₩6.2B
− Working capital−₩8.6B−₩17B₩38B₩6.6M₩1M−₩4.5M−₩9.6M−₩15M
Free cash flow———−₩3.4B−₩3.4B−₩3.4B−₩3.5B−₩3.6B
Discount factor———0.9340.8720.8140.7600.709
Present value———−₩3.2B−₩2.9B−₩2.8B−₩2.6B−₩2.5B

Terminal value −₩56B, worth −₩40B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,971 a share)Now 0.31×₩2,0761.05×₩19,4859.88×₩39,22419.9×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.1%—————
6.6%—————
7.1%—————
7.6%—————
8.1%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩25B
Enterprise value
₩90B
P/E
—
P/B
0.3×
P/S
1.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,470₩14,049₩21,849₩11,857₩9,122
Market cap₩139B₩562B₩875B₩475B₩365B
P/E—————
P/B1.5×6.9×15.0×11.2×12.5×
P/S8.2×30.6×42.8×27.0×14.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Aptn—0.3×1.6×—0.0%
Samsung E&A18.4×2.4×1.3×—1.3%
HD Hyundai Marine Solution23.7×8.9×3.6×—2.2%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction97.3×5.9×6.5×48.4×1.5%
POSCO DX90.5×5.1×3.0×—0.0%
Hanyang ENG7.4×0.7×0.4×3.6×0.0%
SemiFive—2.1×3.9×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)23.7×3.8×3.3×26.0×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Aptn / 앱튼 / 270520 / KRX:270520

Source: KRX statistical information