Newtree

270870 · KOSDAQ · ₩270870 · 뉴트리

₩3,675▲ ₩40 (1.10%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩4,291

vs the current price (₩3,675)

Enterprise value
₩23B
Equity value
₩39B
WACC
7.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,211
−39.8%
Base
₩4,291
+16.8%
Bull
₩8,449
+129.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.8%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 30.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩104B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩2.6B
+ Stakes and investments
₩20B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩1.3B
Shares
8,994,846
Share price
₩3,675
Market cap
₩33B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩151B₩122B₩101B₩94B₩87B₩84B₩84B₩87B
Growth−23.8%−19.4%−17.1%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩11B₩4.9B−₩2.3B₩2.6B₩2.4B₩2.4B₩2.4B₩2.4B
EBIT margin7.0%4.0%−2.2%2.8%2.8%2.8%2.8%2.8%
After-tax EBIT₩7.6B₩3.6B−₩1.6B₩1.9B₩1.8B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.8B
+ Depreciation———₩2.8B₩2.6B₩2.5B₩2.5B₩2.6B
− Capital spending———₩3.8B₩3.5B₩3.4B₩3.4B₩3.5B
− Working capital₩3.8B₩8.8B−₩11B−₩3.2B−₩1.9B−₩928M−₩51M₩766M
Free cash flow———₩4.1B₩2.8B₩1.8B₩919M₩128M
Discount factor———0.9340.8720.8150.7610.711
Present value———₩3.9B₩2.4B₩1.5B₩699M₩91M

Terminal value ₩20B, worth ₩14B today: 62% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩12,030 a share)Now 0.31×₩4,5550.38×₩7,9930.66×₩22,4971.87×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩534 a share)Now 6.88×₩3,0905.78×₩4,3688.17×₩8,86716.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,443 a share)Now 1.07×₩19,9055.78×₩28,1438.17×₩57,12216.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.1%₩4,801₩4,794₩4,783₩4,765₩4,739
6.6%₩4,565₩4,541₩4,510₩4,468₩4,412
7.1%₩4,368₩4,334₩4,291₩4,236₩4,165
7.6%₩4,201₩4,160₩4,110₩4,049₩3,971
8.1%₩4,057₩4,013₩3,959₩3,894₩3,815

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩33B
Enterprise value
₩34B
P/E
6.9×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,130₩5,520₩7,100₩11,000₩21,950
Market cap₩46B₩50B₩64B₩99B₩197B
P/E—10.3×13.9×20.9×10.0×
P/B0.4×0.5×0.6×1.0×2.1×
P/S0.5×0.4×0.4×0.5×0.8×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Newtree6.9×0.3×0.3×—0.0%
Samyang Foods17.6×5.6×3.1×—0.4%
Orion10.6×1.1×1.2×5.3×3.1%
CJ Cheiljedang—0.3×0.1×—3.5%
Nongshim12.0×0.8×0.6×—1.5%
Otoki17.3×0.6×0.3×—2.9%
Hite Jinro23.2×0.9×0.4×6.4×4.5%
Similar companies (median)17.3×0.9×0.5×5.8×3.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Newtree / 뉴트리 / 270870 / KRX:270870

Source: KRX statistical information