INNOX Advanced Materials이녹스첨단소재
272290 · KOSDAQ · ₩272290 · 이녹스첨단소재
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩18,370
vs the current price (₩18,130)
- Enterprise value
- ₩627B
- Equity value
- ₩366B
- WACC
- 6.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,390
- −70.3%
- Base
- ₩18,370
- +1.3%
- Bull
- ₩41,089
- +126.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (18.2%).
Revenue growth
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 18.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 36.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 45.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.72
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.57, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩419B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩137B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩126B
- Shares
- 19,937,509
- Share price
- ₩18,130
- Market cap
- ₩361B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩387B | ₩423B | ₩440B | ₩404B | ₩397B | ₩395B | ₩401B | ₩413B |
| Growth | −20.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% | −3.5% | −1.9% | −0.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩42B | ₩87B | ₩82B | ₩74B | ₩72B | ₩72B | ₩73B | ₩75B |
| EBIT margin | 10.9% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩31B | ₩63B | ₩59B | ₩53B | ₩52B | ₩52B | ₩53B | ₩54B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩148B | ₩145B | ₩145B | ₩147B | ₩151B |
| − Capital spending | ₩141B | ₩201B | ₩235B | ₩185B | ₩182B | ₩181B | ₩184B | ₩189B |
| − Working capital | −₩27B | −₩25B | ₩12B | −₩2.5B | −₩1.3B | −₩205M | ₩952M | ₩2.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩19B | ₩17B | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩14B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.935 | 0.874 | 0.818 | 0.764 | 0.715 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩17B | ₩15B | ₩13B | ₩12B | ₩10B |
Terminal value ₩783B, worth ₩560B today: 89% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩21,753 a share)Now 0.83× | ₩20,9820.96× | ₩32,6871.50× | ₩57,8022.66× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,030 a share)Now 5.98× | ₩17,3855.74× | ₩28,4849.40× | ₩51,61517.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,950 a share)Now 4.59× | ₩22,6645.74× | ₩37,1339.40× | ₩67,28617.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | ₩20,065 | ₩23,263 | ₩27,268 | ₩32,432 | ₩39,345 |
| 6.4% | ₩16,668 | ₩19,206 | ₩22,312 | ₩26,203 | ₩31,219 |
| 6.9% | ₩13,851 | ₩15,904 | ₩18,370 | ₩21,388 | ₩25,167 |
| 7.4% | ₩11,480 | ₩13,167 | ₩15,161 | ₩17,557 | ₩20,488 |
| 7.9% | ₩9,458 | ₩10,862 | ₩12,501 | ₩14,438 | ₩16,765 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩361B
- Enterprise value
- ₩496B
- P/E
- 6.0×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 0.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩22,750 | ₩20,100 | ₩32,000 | ₩30,300 | ₩46,150 |
| Market cap | ₩454B | ₩401B | ₩638B | ₩604B | ₩920B |
| P/E | 7.8× | 5.7× | 19.5× | 7.1× | 11.5× |
| P/B | 1.2× | 0.9× | 1.6× | 1.6× | 3.0× |
| P/S | 1.0× | 0.9× | 1.6× | 1.2× | 1.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.5% | 1.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INNOX Advanced Materials | 6.0× | 0.8× | 0.9× | — | 1.9% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: INNOX Advanced Materials / 이녹스첨단소재 / 272290 / KRX:272290
Source: KRX statistical information