SSR에스에스알
275630 · KOSDAQ · ₩275630 · 에스에스알
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,912
vs the current price (₩3,095)
- Enterprise value
- ₩7.9B
- Equity value
- ₩21B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,369
- −23.5%
- Base
- ₩2,912
- −5.9%
- Bull
- ₩3,874
- +25.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.3%).
Revenue growth
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 7.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 25.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩11B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩13B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩31M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 7,155,981
- Share price
- ₩3,095
- Market cap
- ₩22B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩10B |
| Growth | −2.8% | −13.2% | 6.5% | −3.5% | −1.9% | −0.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩1.6B | −₩187M | ₩754M | ₩847M | ₩831M | ₩828M | ₩840M | ₩865M |
| EBIT margin | 13.2% | −1.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.2B | −₩136M | ₩547M | ₩614M | ₩602M | ₩600M | ₩609M | ₩627M |
| + Depreciation | ₩383M | ₩339M | ₩345M | ₩316M | ₩310M | ₩309M | ₩314M | ₩323M |
| − Capital spending | ₩97M | ₩939M | ₩1.4B | ₩755M | ₩741M | ₩738M | ₩749M | ₩771M |
| − Working capital | −₩12B | −₩1.7B | −₩589M | −₩94M | −₩49M | −₩7.7M | ₩36M | ₩77M |
| Free cash flow | ₩13B | ₩927M | ₩65M | ₩270M | ₩221M | ₩179M | ₩138M | ₩102M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩251M | ₩192M | ₩144M | ₩104M | ₩71M |
Terminal value ₩10B, worth ₩7.1B today: 90% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,037 a share)Now 1.02× | ₩2,5370.84× | ₩3,5301.16× | ₩5,3681.77× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩3,003 | ₩3,092 | ₩3,200 | ₩3,336 | ₩3,511 |
| 6.9% | ₩2,887 | ₩2,957 | ₩3,041 | ₩3,144 | ₩3,273 |
| 7.4% | ₩2,789 | ₩2,846 | ₩2,912 | ₩2,992 | ₩3,090 |
| 7.9% | ₩2,706 | ₩2,752 | ₩2,806 | ₩2,869 | ₩2,945 |
| 8.4% | ₩2,634 | ₩2,672 | ₩2,716 | ₩2,767 | ₩2,827 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩22B
- Enterprise value
- ₩9.2B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 2.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,810 | ₩3,255 | ₩4,905 | ₩5,960 | ₩6,550 |
| Market cap | ₩20B | ₩23B | ₩35B | ₩43B | ₩47B |
| P/E | — | — | 20.4× | 22.5× | 28.4× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 0.9× | 1.3× | 1.5× | 1.8× |
| P/S | 1.8× | 2.2× | 2.9× | 3.4× | 4.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.3× | 41.1× | 7.9× | 13.0× | 19.7× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSR | — | 1.0× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 46.8× | 4.7× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 6.9× | 1.2× | 2.0× | 8.3× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.0× | 3.0× | 5.1× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.7× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: SSR / 에스에스알 / 275630 / KRX:275630
Source: KRX statistical information