HanWool & Jeju

276730 · KOSDAQ · ₩276730 · 한울앤제주

₩583▼ ₩202 (25.73%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩31B
Equity value
−₩52B
WACC
7.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩583, the model needs an operating margin of 24.7% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −49.0% to −25.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 32.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 2

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 10.84, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩14B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩31B
+ Stakes and investments
₩9.6B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
23,607,980
Share price
₩583
Market cap
₩14B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩22B₩18B₩14B₩13B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B
Growth−6.3%−18.6%−24.0%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩11B−₩4.8B−₩4.9B−₩2.6B−₩2.4B−₩2.3B−₩2.3B−₩2.4B
EBIT margin−49.0%−26.4%−35.3%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩8B−₩3.5B−₩3.6B−₩1.9B−₩1.7B−₩1.7B−₩1.7B−₩1.7B
+ Depreciation———₩606M₩565M₩545M₩544M₩561M
− Capital spending₩587M₩663M₩1.6B₩760M₩709M₩684M₩683M₩704M
− Working capital−₩5.1B₩1.9B₩11B−₩460M−₩277M−₩135M−₩7.4M₩111M
Free cash flow———−₩1.6B−₩1.6B−₩1.7B−₩1.8B−₩2B
Discount factor———0.9300.8660.8050.7490.697
Present value———−₩1.5B−₩1.4B−₩1.4B−₩1.4B−₩1.4B

Terminal value −₩35B, worth −₩24B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩480 a share)Now 1.22×₩2,3144.82×₩5,72511.9×₩7,99016.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.5%—————
7.0%—————
7.5%—————
8.0%—————
8.5%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩14B
Enterprise value
₩42B
P/E
—
P/B
1.2×
P/S
1.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,192₩6,443₩11,666₩15,958₩30,587
Market cap₩75B₩152B₩275B₩377B₩722B
P/E—————
P/B4.7×18.3×15.1×12.6×13.5×
P/S5.4×8.3×12.3×15.7×25.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
HanWool & Jeju—1.2×1.0×—0.0%
Samyang Foods17.5×5.6×3.1×—0.4%
Orion10.5×1.1×1.2×5.3×3.1%
CJ Cheiljedang—0.3×0.1×—3.6%
Nongshim12.1×0.8×0.7×—1.5%
Otoki16.9×0.6×0.3×—2.9%
Hite Jinro23.3×1.0×0.4×6.4×4.5%
Similar companies (median)16.9×0.9×0.6×5.8×3.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: HanWool & Jeju / 한울앤제주 / 276730 / KRX:276730

Source: KRX statistical information