EMB

278990 · KONEX · ₩278990 · EMB

₩3,190▲ ₩90 (2.90%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩19B
Equity value
−₩40B
WACC
5.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,190, the model needs an operating margin of 11.7% every year (it uses −3.2%).
  • Margins ranged from −21.7% to 7.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−3.2%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -3.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (FY 2025)
₩24B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩22B
Shares
8,064,777
Share price
₩3,190
Market cap
₩26B

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩24B₩28B₩24B₩24B₩24B₩24B₩24B₩25B
Growth0.3%13.7%−14.1%−0.7%0.2%1.2%2.1%3.0%
EBIT₩806M₩607M−₩5.2B−₩756M−₩757M−₩766M−₩782M−₩806M
EBIT margin3.3%2.2%−21.7%−3.2%−3.2%−3.2%−3.2%−3.2%
After-tax EBIT₩584M₩440M−₩3.7B−₩548M−₩549M−₩555M−₩567M−₩584M
+ Depreciation———₩24M₩24M₩24M₩24M₩25M
− Capital spending₩71M₩22M₩7.4M₩24M₩24M₩24M₩24M₩25M
− Working capital₩6.1B−₩220M−₩13B−₩67M₩19M₩114M₩201M₩293M
Free cash flow———−₩481M−₩568M−₩669M−₩768M−₩878M
Discount factor———0.9450.8930.8440.7980.754
Present value———−₩455M−₩507M−₩565M−₩613M−₩662M

Terminal value −₩21B, worth −₩16B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,031 a share)Now 0.79×₩2,9950.74×₩7,6121.89×₩29,1977.24×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.8%—————
5.3%—————
5.8%—————
6.3%—————
6.8%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩26B
Enterprise value
₩47B
P/E
—
P/B
0.8×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,400₩4,135₩12,490₩4,100₩9,000
Market cap₩27B₩33B₩101B₩33B₩73B
P/E—13.2×34.2×—47.5×
P/B0.8×1.1×3.3×2.5×5.4×
P/S1.2×1.2×4.1×1.4×2.8×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
EMB—0.8×1.1×—0.0%
LS Electric57.7×10.5×3.9×35.7×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries28.8×6.5×2.6×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric18.0×6.8×3.5×—0.0%
Gaon Cable105.6×12.8×2.3×55.0×0.0%
Sanil Electric24.9×6.8×7.6×—0.9%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.1×0.9×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)28.8×6.8×3.1×45.4×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: EMB / 278990 / KRX:278990

Source: KRX statistical information