KP Aero Industries케이피항공산업
288180 · KOSDAQ · ₩288180 · 케이피항공산업
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩348
vs the current price (₩6,210)
- Enterprise value
- ₩6.3B
- Equity value
- ₩2.6B
- WACC
- 9.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 94% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,210, the model needs an operating margin of 8.3% every year (it uses 3.7%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩348
- −94.4%
- Bull
- ₩4,113
- −33.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.7%).
Revenue growth
- 24.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 13.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 12.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 15.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 10.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 1
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: not enough price history yet, so 1.0 (the market average).
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩54B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩3.7B
- Shares
- 7,393,262
- Share price
- ₩6,210
- Market cap
- ₩46B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩35B | ₩50B | ₩54B | ₩68B | ₩81B | ₩92B | ₩100B | ₩103B |
| Growth | — | 43.6% | 8.6% | 24.9% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩861M | ₩3.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.5B | ₩3B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B |
| EBIT margin | 2.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩624M | ₩2.5B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.8B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩8.4B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.8B | ₩13B | ₩3.4B | ₩10B | ₩12B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩6.9B | −₩3.1B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.2B | ₩812M | ₩311M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.2B | −₩739M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.917 | 0.840 | 0.770 | 0.706 | 0.647 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.2B | −₩867M | −₩478M |
Terminal value ₩18B, worth ₩12B today: 188% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | ₩528 | ₩598 | ₩679 | ₩773 | ₩885 |
| 8.6% | ₩381 | ₩436 | ₩500 | ₩572 | ₩657 |
| 9.1% | ₩254 | ₩298 | ₩348 | ₩404 | ₩469 |
| 9.6% | ₩143 | ₩178 | ₩218 | ₩262 | ₩312 |
| 10.1% | ₩46 | ₩74 | ₩105 | ₩140 | ₩179 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩46B
- Enterprise value
- ₩49B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.3×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
Loading data for this company — check back soon
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KP Aero Industries | — | 1.3× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha Aerospace | 19.4× | 3.3× | 1.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Korea Aerospace Industries | 55.2× | 5.2× | 2.2× | — | 0.5% |
| LIG Defense&Aerospace | 32.8× | 5.9× | 2.0× | — | 0.7% |
| Satrec Initiative | 66.8× | 2.5× | 3.0× | 39.6× | 0.2% |
| Firstec | 16.8× | 2.8× | 0.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Samyang Comtech | 8.3× | 1.4× | 1.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 26.1× | 3.0× | 1.8× | 39.6× | 0.3% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: KP Aero Industries / 케이피항공산업 / 288180 / KRX:288180
Source: KRX statistical information