KP Aero Industries

288180 · KOSDAQ · ₩288180 · 케이피항공산업

₩6,210▼ ₩230 (3.57%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩348

vs the current price (₩6,210)

Enterprise value
₩6.3B
Equity value
₩2.6B
WACC
9.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 94% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩6,210, the model needs an operating margin of 8.3% every year (it uses 3.7%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩348
−94.4%
Bull
₩4,113
−33.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 24.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 13.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (24.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 12.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 15.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 10.4%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 1

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: not enough price history yet, so 1.0 (the market average).

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩54B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩3.7B
Shares
7,393,262
Share price
₩6,210
Market cap
₩46B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩35B₩50B₩54B₩68B₩81B₩92B₩100B₩103B
Growth—43.6%8.6%24.9%19.4%13.9%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩861M₩3.5B₩2.6B₩2.5B₩3B₩3.4B₩3.7B₩3.8B
EBIT margin2.5%7.0%4.9%3.7%3.7%3.7%3.7%3.7%
After-tax EBIT₩624M₩2.5B₩1.9B₩1.8B₩2.2B₩2.5B₩2.7B₩2.8B
+ Depreciation———₩8.4B₩10B₩11B₩12B₩13B
− Capital spending₩4.8B₩13B₩3.4B₩10B₩12B₩14B₩15B₩16B
− Working capital—−₩6.9B−₩3.1B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.2B₩812M₩311M
Free cash flow———−₩1.7B−₩1.7B−₩1.5B−₩1.2B−₩739M
Discount factor———0.9170.8400.7700.7060.647
Present value———−₩1.5B−₩1.4B−₩1.2B−₩867M−₩478M

Terminal value ₩18B, worth ₩12B today: 188% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
8.1%₩528₩598₩679₩773₩885
8.6%₩381₩436₩500₩572₩657
9.1%₩254₩298₩348₩404₩469
9.6%₩143₩178₩218₩262₩312
10.1%₩46₩74₩105₩140₩179

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩46B
Enterprise value
₩49B
P/E
—
P/B
1.3×
P/S
0.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

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Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
KP Aero Industries—1.3×0.8×—0.0%
Hanwha Aerospace19.4×3.3×1.3×—0.9%
Korea Aerospace Industries55.2×5.2×2.2×—0.5%
LIG Defense&Aerospace32.8×5.9×2.0×—0.7%
Satrec Initiative66.8×2.5×3.0×39.6×0.2%
Firstec16.8×2.8×0.7×—0.0%
Samyang Comtech8.3×1.4×1.5×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)26.1×3.0×1.8×39.6×0.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: KP Aero Industries / 케이피항공산업 / 288180 / KRX:288180

Source: KRX statistical information