Hunesion휴네시온
290270 · KOSDAQ · ₩290270 · 휴네시온
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩7,287
vs the current price (₩2,380)
- Enterprise value
- ₩57B
- Equity value
- ₩70B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 206% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,380, the model needs an operating margin of 3.1% every year (it uses 11.1%).
- 45% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 4.9× against a typical 5.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩4,830
- +102.9%
- Base
- ₩7,287
- +206.2%
- Bull
- ₩11,443
- +380.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.1%).
Revenue growth
- 7.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 11.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.27, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩37B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩13B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩900M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩550M
- Shares
- 9,607,672
- Share price
- ₩2,380
- Market cap
- ₩23B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩36B | ₩37B | ₩38B | ₩39B | ₩42B | ₩44B | ₩46B | ₩47B |
| Growth | 18.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.7B | ₩3.2B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.9B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.2B |
| EBIT margin | 12.9% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.4B | ₩2.3B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2.7B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.7B | ₩2.3B | ₩425M | ₩3.4B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B | ₩4.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩4B | −₩114M | ₩1.3B | ₩163M | ₩149M | ₩130M | ₩108M | ₩82M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2.3B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2B |
Terminal value ₩66B, worth ₩46B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,108 a share)Now 0.47× | ₩3,3760.66× | ₩4,9160.96× | ₩6,9681.36× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩488 a share)Now 4.87× | ₩1,4983.07× | ₩2,4905.10× | ₩4,1168.43× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩460 a share)Now 5.17× | ₩1,4123.07× | ₩2,3465.10× | ₩3,8788.43× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩7,541 | ₩8,067 | ₩8,715 | ₩9,533 | ₩10,598 |
| 6.8% | ₩6,987 | ₩7,412 | ₩7,927 | ₩8,560 | ₩9,360 |
| 7.3% | ₩6,521 | ₩6,871 | ₩7,287 | ₩7,790 | ₩8,409 |
| 7.8% | ₩6,124 | ₩6,416 | ₩6,759 | ₩7,166 | ₩7,657 |
| 8.3% | ₩5,782 | ₩6,029 | ₩6,314 | ₩6,649 | ₩7,047 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩23B
- Enterprise value
- ₩9.7B
- P/E
- 4.9×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,755 | ₩3,240 | ₩3,880 | ₩4,245 | ₩6,450 |
| Market cap | ₩36B | ₩31B | ₩37B | ₩41B | ₩62B |
| P/E | 6.3× | 8.4× | 5.5× | — | 4.2× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.7× | 0.9× | 1.2× | 1.5× |
| P/S | 1.0× | 0.8× | 1.0× | 1.3× | 2.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.3% | 1.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunesion | 4.9× | 0.5× | 0.6× | — | 2.1% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 41.5× | 4.2× | 1.7× | — | 0.7% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.5× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 8.1× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.3× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.5× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.9× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hunesion / 휴네시온 / 290270 / KRX:290270
Source: KRX statistical information