L&C Bio엘앤씨바이오
290650 · KOSDAQ · ₩290650 · 엘앤씨바이오
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩8,382
vs the current price (₩23,950)
- Enterprise value
- ₩195B
- Equity value
- ₩226B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 65% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩23,950, the model needs an operating margin of 30.8% every year (it uses 12.8%).
- Or revenue growth +33.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 3.5% to 28.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,194
- −78.3%
- Base
- ₩8,382
- −65.0%
- Bull
- ₩13,864
- −42.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.8%).
Revenue growth
- 17.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 13.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 12.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 17%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 21.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 28.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.18, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩116B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩16B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩25B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩10B
- Shares
- 26,969,704
- Share price
- ₩23,950
- Market cap
- ₩646B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩69B | ₩72B | ₩85B | ₩137B | ₩156B | ₩172B | ₩183B | ₩189B |
| Growth | 31.0% | 4.7% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩7.7B | ₩2.5B | ₩4.4B | ₩18B | ₩20B | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩24B |
| EBIT margin | 11.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩5.6B | ₩1.8B | ₩3.2B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩23B | ₩26B | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| − Capital spending | ₩25B | ₩5.3B | ₩17B | ₩29B | ₩33B | ₩36B | ₩39B | ₩40B |
| − Working capital | ₩8.1B | −₩1.5B | −₩104B | ₩5.8B | ₩5.4B | ₩4.6B | ₩3.2B | ₩1.6B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.1B | ₩2.5B | ₩4.2B | ₩6.1B | ₩8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1B | ₩2.2B | ₩3.4B | ₩4.6B | ₩5.6B |
Terminal value ₩254B, worth ₩179B today: 91% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩12,042 a share)Now 1.99× | ₩19,0951.59× | ₩38,9203.23× | ₩69,6005.78× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩8,932 | ₩9,560 | ₩10,332 | ₩11,305 | ₩12,569 |
| 6.8% | ₩8,154 | ₩8,653 | ₩9,254 | ₩9,993 | ₩10,924 |
| 7.3% | ₩7,501 | ₩7,904 | ₩8,382 | ₩8,957 | ₩9,664 |
| 7.8% | ₩6,947 | ₩7,277 | ₩7,662 | ₩8,118 | ₩8,669 |
| 8.3% | ₩6,470 | ₩6,743 | ₩7,058 | ₩7,427 | ₩7,863 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩646B
- Enterprise value
- ₩630B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 2.0×
- P/S
- 5.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩30,702 | ₩12,110 | ₩14,572 | ₩11,607 | ₩18,391 |
| Market cap | ₩828B | ₩327B | ₩393B | ₩313B | ₩496B |
| P/E | — | 2.3× | 8.1× | 68.9× | 35.9× |
| P/B | 4.2× | 1.1× | 2.7× | 3.2× | 5.8× |
| P/S | 9.7× | 4.5× | 5.7× | 6.0× | 10.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L&C Bio | — | 2.0× | 5.6× | — | 0.1% |
| Samsung Biologics | 34.7× | 8.2× | 15.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 28.2× | 2.5× | 9.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 76.3× | 27.5× | 58.0× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.3× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.4× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.5× | 54.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.2× | 7.1× | 12.1× | 30.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: L&C Bio / 엘앤씨바이오 / 290650 / KRX:290650
Source: KRX statistical information