Actro액트로
290740 · KOSDAQ · ₩290740 · 액트로
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩4,188
vs the current price (₩9,550)
- Enterprise value
- ₩6.8B
- Equity value
- ₩42B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 56% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩9,550, the model needs an operating margin of 1.8% every year (it uses 0.8%).
- Or revenue growth +35.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 77% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 8.1× against a typical 10.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩4,188
- −56.2%
- Bull
- ₩19,041
- +99.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.8%).
Revenue growth
- 22.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 17.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 6.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.35, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩235B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩35B
- − Minority interests
- ₩1.8M
- Shares
- 10,065,011
- Share price
- ₩9,550
- Market cap
- ₩96B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩157B | ₩203B | ₩245B | ₩288B | ₩339B | ₩382B | ₩412B | ₩425B |
| Growth | 17.9% | 29.5% | 20.6% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.7B | ₩2.4B | ₩6.6B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.7B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B |
| EBIT margin | 3.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.4B | ₩1.8B | ₩4.8B | ₩1.7B | ₩2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩14B | ₩17B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B |
| − Capital spending | ₩9.6B | ₩11B | ₩16B | ₩18B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| − Working capital | −₩11B | ₩13B | −₩4.9B | −₩2.1B | −₩2B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.2B | −₩495M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩338M | −₩63M | −₩635M | −₩1.3B | −₩2.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩315M | −₩54M | −₩513M | −₩1B | −₩1.5B |
Terminal value ₩14B, worth ₩9.6B today: 141% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,306 a share)Now 1.15× | ₩6,5360.79× | ₩8,8171.06× | ₩11,8201.42× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,181 a share)Now 8.08× | ₩9,1607.75× | ₩11,82010.0× | ₩44,91338.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩663 a share)Now 14.4× | ₩5,1437.75× | ₩6,63610.0× | ₩25,21538.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩3,979 | ₩4,189 | ₩4,449 | ₩4,777 | ₩5,205 |
| 6.9% | ₩3,905 | ₩4,085 | ₩4,304 | ₩4,574 | ₩4,915 |
| 7.4% | ₩3,843 | ₩4,000 | ₩4,188 | ₩4,415 | ₩4,695 |
| 7.9% | ₩3,792 | ₩3,930 | ₩4,093 | ₩4,286 | ₩4,521 |
| 8.4% | ₩3,749 | ₩3,871 | ₩4,014 | ₩4,181 | ₩4,381 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩96B
- Enterprise value
- ₩61B
- P/E
- 8.1×
- P/B
- 1.1×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩16,160 | ₩5,060 | ₩8,060 | ₩5,990 | ₩8,820 |
| Market cap | ₩163B | ₩51B | ₩81B | ₩60B | ₩89B |
| P/E | 22.1× | 34.3× | 14.1× | — | 30.9× |
| P/B | 2.2× | 0.7× | 1.2× | 0.9× | 1.2× |
| P/S | 0.7× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 1.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.6% | 2.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actro | 8.1× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 1.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 95.9× | 9.4× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 37.2× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 69.5× | 2.7× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 12.4× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 0.5% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.9× | 7.0× | 5.1× | — | 0.4% |
| Isupetasys | 33.8× | 7.9× | 5.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 41.1× | 6.1× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Actro / 액트로 / 290740 / KRX:290740
Source: KRX statistical information