coocon

294570 · KOSDAQ · ₩294570 · 쿠콘

₩23,450▼ ₩600 (2.49%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩51,932

vs the current price (₩23,450)

Enterprise value
₩270B
Equity value
₩524B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 121% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩23,450, the model needs an operating margin of −1.4% every year (it uses 26.7%).
  • Margins ranged from 22.7% to 31.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 37% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 10.8× against a typical 15.6× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩43,324
+84.8%
Base
₩51,932
+121.5%
Bull
₩65,826
+180.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (26.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 26.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.4, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩69B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩164B
+ Stakes and investments
₩91B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
10,091,732
Share price
₩23,450
Market cap
₩237B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩68B₩73B₩69B₩72B₩74B₩77B₩79B₩81B
Growth8.9%6.9%−4.9%3.5%3.4%3.2%3.1%3.0%
EBIT₩17B₩17B₩19B₩19B₩20B₩20B₩21B₩22B
EBIT margin24.3%22.7%27.2%26.7%26.7%26.7%26.7%26.7%
After-tax EBIT₩12B₩12B₩14B₩14B₩14B₩15B₩15B₩16B
+ Depreciation———₩2.4B₩2.5B₩2.5B₩2.6B₩2.7B
− Capital spending₩3.7B₩3B₩2.1B₩3B₩3.1B₩3.2B₩3.3B₩3.4B
− Working capital−₩16B−₩32B−₩31B−₩243M−₩244M−₩238M−₩238M−₩237M
Free cash flow———₩13B₩14B₩14B₩15B₩15B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩13B₩12B₩12B₩11B₩11B

Terminal value ₩301B, worth ₩211B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩18,696 a share)Now 1.25×₩21,5761.15×₩33,0291.77×₩70,5423.77×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,179 a share)Now 10.8×₩23,45010.8×₩33,94915.6×₩110,04350.5×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩5,231 a share)Now 4.48×₩56,30810.8×₩81,51815.6×₩264,23750.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩52,768₩55,197₩58,191₩61,971₩66,895
6.8%₩50,368₩52,346₩54,736₩57,681₩61,401
7.3%₩48,349₩49,986₩51,932₩54,284₩57,182
7.8%₩46,627₩48,001₩49,612₩51,527₩53,841
8.3%₩45,141₩46,307₩47,660₩49,245₩51,130

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩237B
Enterprise value
₩73B
P/E
10.8×
P/B
1.3×
P/S
3.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩28,400₩16,280₩20,150₩32,750₩72,600
Market cap₩287B₩164B₩203B₩331B₩733B
P/E13.3×10.4×22.6×67.4×106.6×
P/B1.7×1.1×1.6×2.5×5.7×
P/S4.1×2.2×3.0×5.3×12.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.1%0.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
coocon10.8×1.3×3.4×—1.3%
NAVER13.0×0.9×2.0×—1.5%
Kakao37.7×1.1×1.6×—0.3%
Daou Technology1.9×0.4×0.0×—5.6%
NICE Information Service11.7×2.1×1.6×6.9×2.9%
Kinx35.7×4.0×5.2×15.6×0.3%
Cafe2411.1×1.5×1.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)12.3×1.3×1.6×6.9×0.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: coocon / 쿠콘 / 294570 / KRX:294570

Source: KRX statistical information