Innoax이노에이엑스
296640 · KOSDAQ · ₩296640 · 이노에이엑스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩6,178
vs the current price (₩7,050)
- Enterprise value
- ₩24B
- Equity value
- ₩32B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩3,693
- −47.6%
- Base
- ₩6,178
- −12.4%
- Bull
- ₩10,504
- +49.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.4%).
Revenue growth
- 12.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 10.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩27B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩8B
- Shares
- 5,178,252
- Share price
- ₩7,050
- Market cap
- ₩37B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩16B | ₩24B | ₩23B | ₩30B | ₩33B | ₩36B | ₩38B | ₩39B |
| Growth | −4.4% | 52.8% | −3.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩1.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩922M | ₩1.6B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B |
| EBIT margin | −8.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩899M | ₩1.7B | ₩668M | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B |
| + Depreciation | ₩124M | ₩134M | ₩171M | ₩211M | ₩232M | ₩250M | ₩263M | ₩271M |
| − Capital spending | ₩22M | — | — | ₩30M | ₩33M | ₩36M | ₩38M | ₩39M |
| − Working capital | −₩14B | −₩841M | ₩4.4B | ₩351M | ₩320M | ₩270M | ₩202M | ₩121M |
| Free cash flow | ₩13B | — | — | ₩1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩942M | ₩1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B |
Terminal value ₩27B, worth ₩19B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,076 a share)Now 1.00× | ₩6,1420.87× | ₩7,8291.11× | ₩11,2701.59× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,137 a share)Now 6.20× | ₩11,61910.2× | ₩20,91518.4× | ₩52,93946.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,238 a share)Now 3.15× | ₩22,85810.2× | ₩41,14518.4× | ₩104,14546.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩6,454 | ₩6,808 | ₩7,242 | ₩7,788 | ₩8,494 |
| 6.9% | ₩6,030 | ₩6,314 | ₩6,655 | ₩7,075 | ₩7,601 |
| 7.4% | ₩5,672 | ₩5,904 | ₩6,178 | ₩6,507 | ₩6,912 |
| 7.9% | ₩5,366 | ₩5,558 | ₩5,781 | ₩6,045 | ₩6,364 |
| 8.4% | ₩5,102 | ₩5,262 | ₩5,447 | ₩5,662 | ₩5,917 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩37B
- Enterprise value
- ₩28B
- P/E
- 6.2×
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 1.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- 21.5×
- Dividend yield
- 3.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,710 | ₩6,220 | ₩7,160 | ₩9,610 |
| Market cap | ₩30B | ₩32B | ₩37B | ₩50B |
| P/E | 11.4× | 10.5× | 1,065.9× | 23.2× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 1.0× | 1.2× | 1.6× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 1.4× | 2.4× | 3.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.0× | 4.6× | — | 32.2× |
| Dividend yield | 3.9% | 4.0% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Innoax | 6.2× | 1.0× | 1.4× | 21.5× | 3.1% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Innoax / 이노에이엑스 / 296640 / KRX:296640
Source: KRX statistical information