HB SolutionHB솔루션
297890 · KOSDAQ · ₩297890 · HB솔루션
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩224
vs the current price (₩1,447)
- Enterprise value
- −₩15B
- Equity value
- ₩16B
- WACC
- 7.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 84% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,447, the model needs an operating margin of 32.5% every year (it uses 7.5%).
- Margins ranged from 1.4% to 14.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 2.3× against a typical 7.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩130
- −91.0%
- Base
- ₩224
- −84.5%
- Bull
- ₩416
- −71.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.5%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-30.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-30.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-30.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-30.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-30.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 33.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 10.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.7
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.56, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩38B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩28B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩4.5B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩1B
- Shares
- 73,140,914
- Share price
- ₩1,447
- Market cap
- ₩106B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩96B | ₩132B | ₩63B | ₩34B | ₩32B | ₩30B | ₩30B | ₩31B |
| Growth | −48.7% | 36.8% | −52.2% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.8B | ₩19B | ₩4.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B |
| EBIT margin | 7.0% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.9B | ₩14B | ₩3.2B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.1B | ₩1B | ₩1.6B | ₩507M | ₩473M | ₩457M | ₩456M | ₩469M |
| − Capital spending | ₩907M | ₩76B | ₩27B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| − Working capital | ₩8.4B | −₩17B | ₩3.8B | −₩383M | −₩231M | −₩113M | −₩6.2M | ₩93M |
| Free cash flow | −₩3.3B | −₩44B | −₩26B | −₩8.7B | −₩8.3B | −₩8.1B | −₩8.2B | −₩8.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.927 | 0.858 | 0.795 | 0.737 | 0.683 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩8.1B | −₩7.1B | −₩6.4B | −₩6B | −₩5.8B |
Terminal value ₩27B, worth ₩19B today: -126% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,758 a share)Now 0.39× | ₩2,1310.57× | ₩6,0911.62× | ₩12,2103.25× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩632 a share)Now 2.29× | ₩2,3133.66× | ₩4,9137.78× | ₩14,10522.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩928 a share)Now 1.56× | ₩3,3973.66× | ₩7,2157.78× | ₩20,71322.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | ₩227 | ₩250 | ₩278 | ₩313 | ₩356 |
| 7.4% | ₩206 | ₩226 | ₩248 | ₩276 | ₩309 |
| 7.9% | ₩190 | ₩206 | ₩224 | ₩246 | ₩273 |
| 8.4% | ₩176 | ₩190 | ₩205 | ₩223 | ₩245 |
| 8.9% | ₩165 | ₩176 | ₩189 | ₩204 | ₩222 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩106B
- Enterprise value
- ₩78B
- P/E
- 2.3×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 2.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,100 | ₩2,705 | ₩5,290 | ₩3,039 | ₩5,453 |
| Market cap | ₩154B | ₩198B | ₩387B | ₩222B | ₩399B |
| P/E | 5.8× | — | 5.1× | 5.1× | 65.6× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.9× | 1.7× | 1.6× | 3.8× |
| P/S | 2.4× | 1.5× | 4.0× | 1.2× | 8.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | 22.9× | 7.6× | 43.2× | 6.6× | 252.3× |
| Dividend yield | 1.4% | 1.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HB Solution | 2.3× | 0.4× | 2.8× | — | 2.1% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 217.2× | 4.8× | 2.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 87.4× | 26.0× | 35.2× | 78.7× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,189.7× | 14.6× | 38.2× | 2,291.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,610.6× | 59.1× | 174.0× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.5× | 6.9× | 11.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Wonik IPS | 28.2× | 4.5× | 5.3× | 42.7× | 0.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 152.3× | 10.7× | 23.4× | 78.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: HB Solution / HB솔루션 / 297890 / KRX:297890
Source: KRX statistical information