Suresofttech슈어소프트테크
298830 · KOSDAQ · ₩298830 · 슈어소프트테크
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩4,783
vs the current price (₩3,780)
- Enterprise value
- ₩243B
- Equity value
- ₩256B
- WACC
- 8.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩3,186
- −15.7%
- Base
- ₩4,783
- +26.5%
- Bull
- ₩7,267
- +92.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.2%).
Revenue growth
- 21.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (21.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 17.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (21.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (21.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (21.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (21.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 14.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.79
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.69, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩102B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩18B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩8.3B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩14B
- Shares
- 53,458,499
- Share price
- ₩3,780
- Market cap
- ₩202B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩63B | ₩89B | ₩94B | ₩124B | ₩146B | ₩164B | ₩176B | ₩182B |
| Growth | — | 40.3% | 5.8% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩11B | ₩7.9B | ₩13B | ₩18B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| EBIT margin | 18.1% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩8.3B | ₩5.7B | ₩9.1B | ₩13B | ₩15B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩19B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.4B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.7B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩679M | ₩5.5B | ₩6.4B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.8B | ₩8B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩7.1B | −₩2.7B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩904M | ₩631M | ₩265M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.922 | 0.850 | 0.784 | 0.723 | 0.666 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩9.8B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩11B |
Terminal value ₩283B, worth ₩188B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,056 a share)Now 1.84× | ₩4,4012.14× | ₩6,5703.20× | ₩9,6664.70× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩213 a share)Now 17.7× | ₩4,13019.4× | ₩5,46225.6× | ₩11,74855.1× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩208 a share)Now 18.2× | ₩4,02519.4× | ₩5,32225.6× | ₩11,44855.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | ₩4,962 | ₩5,280 | ₩5,657 | ₩6,109 | ₩6,663 |
| 8.0% | ₩4,605 | ₩4,871 | ₩5,183 | ₩5,552 | ₩5,995 |
| 8.5% | ₩4,295 | ₩4,522 | ₩4,783 | ₩5,088 | ₩5,449 |
| 9.0% | ₩4,025 | ₩4,219 | ₩4,441 | ₩4,697 | ₩4,995 |
| 9.5% | ₩3,788 | ₩3,955 | ₩4,145 | ₩4,362 | ₩4,612 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩202B
- Enterprise value
- ₩183B
- P/E
- 17.7×
- P/B
- 1.8×
- P/S
- 2.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,040 | ₩4,360 | ₩6,930 |
| Market cap | ₩430B | ₩233B | ₩370B |
| P/E | 50.1× | 21.6× | 73.2× |
| P/B | 4.0× | 2.5× | 4.5× |
| P/S | 4.6× | 2.6× | 5.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suresofttech | 17.7× | 1.8× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Suresofttech / 슈어소프트테크 / 298830 / KRX:298830
Source: KRX statistical information