Micro Digital

305090 · KOSDAQ · ₩305090 · 마이크로디지탈

₩538 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩74B
Equity value
−₩89B
WACC
5.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩538, the model needs an operating margin of 14.7% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −149.4% to 8.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 13.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 10.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 11.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 27.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩10B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩14B
Shares
18,896,359
Share price
₩538
Market cap
₩10B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩11B₩12B₩13B₩11B₩13B₩14B₩14B₩15B
Growth22.0%6.4%11.4%13.1%10.6%8.0%5.5%3.0%
EBIT₩880M₩280M−₩9.2B−₩2.3B−₩2.5B−₩2.7B−₩2.9B−₩3B
EBIT margin8.1%2.4%−71.4%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT₩638M₩203M−₩6.6B−₩1.7B−₩1.8B−₩2B−₩2.1B−₩2.2B
+ Depreciation₩1.3B₩1.2B₩1.6B₩1.3B₩1.5B₩1.6B₩1.7B₩1.7B
− Capital spending₩1.4B₩2B₩6.8B₩3.2B₩3.5B₩3.8B₩4B₩4.1B
− Working capital−₩1.8B₩16B−₩1.9B₩530M₩485M₩405M₩300M₩173M
Free cash flow₩2.4B−₩16B−₩10B−₩4B−₩4.3B−₩4.6B−₩4.7B−₩4.7B
Discount factor———0.9480.8990.8530.8090.767
Present value———−₩3.8B−₩3.9B−₩3.9B−₩3.8B−₩3.6B

Terminal value −₩72B, worth −₩55B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩803 a share)Now 0.67×₩2,9663.69×₩6,1507.66×₩23,01328.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.5%—————
5.0%—————
5.5%—————
6.0%—————
6.5%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩10B
Enterprise value
₩25B
P/E
—
P/B
0.7×
P/S
1.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩10,820₩9,910₩7,120₩3,445₩10,358
Market cap₩204B₩187B₩135B₩65B₩196B
P/E—416.6×228.0×——
P/B7.1×6.4×15.4×12.0×15.8×
P/S15.9×16.2×12.4×7.3×45.5×
EV/EBITDA—129.2×65.6×——
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Micro Digital—0.7×1.0×—0.0%
TSE27.5×6.1×5.1×—0.2%
Kctech20.8×3.2×3.8×16.1×0.5%
Classys12.6×3.1×4.7×9.8×3.8%
Park Systems68.1×4.6×8.1×—0.2%
Curiox Biosystems—21.9×187.1×—0.0%
DI36.7×5.0×2.2×—0.7%
Similar companies (median)27.5×4.8×4.9×13.0×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Micro Digital / 마이크로디지탈 / 305090 / KRX:305090

Source: KRX statistical information