Micro Digital마이크로디지탈
305090 · KOSDAQ · ₩305090 · 마이크로디지탈
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩74B
- Equity value
- −₩89B
- WACC
- 5.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩538, the model needs an operating margin of 14.7% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- Margins ranged from −149.4% to 8.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- 13.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 11.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 27.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩10B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩14B
- Shares
- 18,896,359
- Share price
- ₩538
- Market cap
- ₩10B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B |
| Growth | 22.0% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩880M | ₩280M | −₩9.2B | −₩2.3B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.7B | −₩2.9B | −₩3B |
| EBIT margin | 8.1% | 2.4% | −71.4% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩638M | ₩203M | −₩6.6B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.8B | −₩2B | −₩2.1B | −₩2.2B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.4B | ₩2B | ₩6.8B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.8B | ₩4B | ₩4.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩1.8B | ₩16B | −₩1.9B | ₩530M | ₩485M | ₩405M | ₩300M | ₩173M |
| Free cash flow | ₩2.4B | −₩16B | −₩10B | −₩4B | −₩4.3B | −₩4.6B | −₩4.7B | −₩4.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.948 | 0.899 | 0.853 | 0.809 | 0.767 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩3.8B | −₩3.9B | −₩3.9B | −₩3.8B | −₩3.6B |
Terminal value −₩72B, worth −₩55B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩803 a share)Now 0.67× | ₩2,9663.69× | ₩6,1507.66× | ₩23,01328.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩10B
- Enterprise value
- ₩25B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩10,820 | ₩9,910 | ₩7,120 | ₩3,445 | ₩10,358 |
| Market cap | ₩204B | ₩187B | ₩135B | ₩65B | ₩196B |
| P/E | — | 416.6× | 228.0× | — | — |
| P/B | 7.1× | 6.4× | 15.4× | 12.0× | 15.8× |
| P/S | 15.9× | 16.2× | 12.4× | 7.3× | 45.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 129.2× | 65.6× | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micro Digital | — | 0.7× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| TSE | 27.5× | 6.1× | 5.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Kctech | 20.8× | 3.2× | 3.8× | 16.1× | 0.5% |
| Classys | 12.6× | 3.1× | 4.7× | 9.8× | 3.8% |
| Park Systems | 68.1× | 4.6× | 8.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Curiox Biosystems | — | 21.9× | 187.1× | — | 0.0% |
| DI | 36.7× | 5.0× | 2.2× | — | 0.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.5× | 4.8× | 4.9× | 13.0× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Micro Digital / 마이크로디지탈 / 305090 / KRX:305090
Source: KRX statistical information