IL아이엘
307180 · KOSDAQ · ₩307180 · 아이엘
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩50B
- Equity value
- −₩61B
- WACC
- 10.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩5,780, the model needs an operating margin of 16.4% every year (it uses −2.4%).
- Margins ranged from −42.8% to 6.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−2.4%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -2.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 8.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 10.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 1.19
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.29, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩99B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩13B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩5.8B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩3.7B
- Shares
- 36,915,676
- Share price
- ₩5,780
- Market cap
- ₩213B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩39B | ₩83B | ₩103B | ₩123B | ₩147B | ₩168B | ₩182B | ₩188B |
| Growth | −20.5% | 113.7% | 23.2% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩17B | ₩5B | −₩8.5B | −₩3B | −₩3.5B | −₩4B | −₩4.4B | −₩4.5B |
| EBIT margin | −42.8% | 6.0% | −8.3% | −2.4% | −2.4% | −2.4% | −2.4% | −2.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩12B | ₩3.7B | −₩6.2B | −₩2.1B | −₩2.6B | −₩2.9B | −₩3.2B | −₩3.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩10B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5B | ₩7.1B | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩16B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩20B |
| − Working capital | −₩47B | −₩11B | −₩20B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.1B | −₩1.4B | −₩547M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩2.4B | −₩3.4B | −₩4.6B | −₩5.8B | −₩6.8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.907 | 0.822 | 0.746 | 0.676 | 0.613 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩2.2B | −₩2.8B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.9B | −₩4.2B |
Terminal value −₩55B, worth −₩34B today: 67% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,153 a share)Now 5.01× | ₩6,9676.04× | ₩9,3768.13× | ₩24,45821.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩213B
- Enterprise value
- ₩225B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 5.0×
- P/S
- 2.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,185 | ₩2,545 | ₩3,445 | ₩2,810 | ₩6,600 |
| Market cap | ₩118B | ₩94B | ₩127B | ₩104B | ₩244B |
| P/E | — | 217.6× | — | 53.5× | — |
| P/B | 5.9× | 7.9× | 22.3× | 6.6× | 30.5× |
| P/S | 1.1× | 1.1× | 3.3× | 2.1× | 5.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IL | — | 5.0× | 2.2× | — | 0.0% |
| LS Electric | 61.0× | 11.1× | 4.2× | 37.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.1× | 7.2× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 106.8× | 12.9× | 2.4× | 55.6× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.2× | 7.4× | 8.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.2× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 30.5× | 7.3× | 3.3× | 46.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: IL / 아이엘 / 307180 / KRX:307180
Source: KRX statistical information