JOYWORKS&Co조이웍스앤코
309930 · KOSDAQ · ₩309930 · 조이웍스앤코
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩15B
- Equity value
- −₩20B
- WACC
- 6.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,017, the model needs an operating margin of 2.9% every year (it uses −0.3%).
- Margins ranged from −19.1% to 11.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩502
- −50.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.3%).
Revenue growth
- 12.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -0.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.32, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩60B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩5.2B
- Shares
- 19,255,889
- Share price
- ₩1,017
- Market cap
- ₩20B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩41B | ₩47B | ₩46B | ₩67B | ₩74B | ₩80B | ₩84B | ₩86B |
| Growth | 26.6% | 15.2% | −2.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩2.1B | −₩2.4B | −₩8.8B | −₩201M | −₩222M | −₩239M | −₩251M | −₩259M |
| EBIT margin | 5.0% | −5.1% | −19.1% | −0.3% | −0.3% | −0.3% | −0.3% | −0.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.5B | −₩1.7B | −₩6.4B | −₩146M | −₩161M | −₩173M | −₩182M | −₩188M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.3B | ₩4.7B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.5B |
| − Capital spending | ₩208M | ₩578M | ₩10B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.9B |
| − Working capital | −₩16B | −₩11B | −₩1.8B | −₩356M | −₩322M | −₩273M | −₩202M | −₩121M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩865M | −₩1B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.4B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.938 | 0.879 | 0.825 | 0.773 | 0.725 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩811M | −₩897M | −₩967M | −₩1B | −₩1B |
Terminal value −₩14B, worth −₩10B today: 69% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,150 a share)Now 0.88× | ₩1,1080.96× | ₩2,7642.40× | ₩4,9374.29× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩23 a share)Now 43.9× | ₩40017.2× | ₩64828.0× | ₩1,49164.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩20B
- Enterprise value
- ₩18B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,607 | ₩2,759 | ₩5,728 | ₩3,090 | ₩6,040 |
| Market cap | ₩50B | ₩53B | ₩110B | ₩59B | ₩116B |
| P/E | — | 38.7× | 44.8× | 39.6× | 31.6× |
| P/B | 2.6× | 1.9× | 3.6× | 2.1× | 4.5× |
| P/S | 1.1× | 1.1× | 2.7× | 1.8× | 3.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOYWORKS&Co | — | 0.9× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 17.5× | 0.5× | 1.1× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 41.4× | 5.5× | 11.5× | — | 0.6% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.0× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae | 13.7× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 2.1% |
| Similar companies (median) | 15.6× | 1.0× | 0.9× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: JOYWORKS&Co / 조이웍스앤코 / 309930 / KRX:309930
Source: KRX statistical information