LB InvestmentLB인베스트먼트
309960 · KOSDAQ · ₩309960 · LB인베스트먼트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
This is a holding company, but we don't have its stakes in listed companies yet, so we use a discounted cash flow for now.
Fair value per share
₩7,515
vs the current price (₩3,760)
- Enterprise value
- ₩153B
- Equity value
- ₩174B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 100% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,760, the model needs an operating margin of 14.9% every year (it uses 33.8%).
- Or revenue growth −19.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 40% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 6.3× against a typical 12.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,534
- +47.2%
- Base
- ₩7,515
- +99.9%
- Bull
- ₩10,716
- +185.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (33.8%).
Revenue growth
- -2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 33.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 23.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.39, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩36B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩22B
- Shares
- 23,217,239
- Share price
- ₩3,760
- Market cap
- ₩87B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩28B | ₩30B | ₩26B | ₩35B | ₩35B | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩37B |
| Growth | — | 9.7% | −12.7% | −2.1% | −0.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩8.5B | ₩11B | ₩9.7B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| EBIT margin | 30.7% | 35.9% | 36.6% | 33.8% | 33.8% | 33.8% | 33.8% | 33.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩6.1B | ₩7.9B | ₩7B | ₩8.6B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.6B | ₩8.7B | ₩9B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩316M | ₩313M | ₩315M | ₩320M | ₩330M |
| − Capital spending | ₩692M | ₩39M | ₩195M | ₩387M | ₩383M | ₩385M | ₩391M | ₩403M |
| − Working capital | — | ₩1.4B | −₩270M | −₩175M | −₩73M | ₩32M | ₩138M | ₩247M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩8.7B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩8.1B | ₩7.4B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.1B |
Terminal value ₩168B, worth ₩118B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,460 a share)Now 0.69× | ₩3,7600.69× | ₩5,0740.93× | ₩5,6381.03× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩600 a share)Now 6.26× | ₩4,6027.67× | ₩7,54612.6× | ₩10,30317.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩543 a share)Now 6.92× | ₩4,1667.67× | ₩6,83112.6× | ₩9,32617.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩7,798 | ₩8,349 | ₩9,026 | ₩9,880 | ₩10,990 |
| 6.8% | ₩7,209 | ₩7,655 | ₩8,193 | ₩8,854 | ₩9,688 |
| 7.3% | ₩6,713 | ₩7,080 | ₩7,515 | ₩8,040 | ₩8,686 |
| 7.8% | ₩6,290 | ₩6,596 | ₩6,954 | ₩7,379 | ₩7,892 |
| 8.3% | ₩5,924 | ₩6,182 | ₩6,481 | ₩6,831 | ₩7,246 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩87B
- Enterprise value
- ₩65B
- P/E
- 6.3×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 2.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,520 | ₩3,185 | ₩4,655 |
| Market cap | ₩128B | ₩74B | ₩108B |
| P/E | 10.3× | 8.6× | 17.1× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.6× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 4.9× | 2.4× | 3.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.6% | 6.3% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB Investment | 6.3× | 0.7× | 2.4× | — | 5.3% |
| SK Square | 3.1× | 1.9× | 82.4× | 3.0× | 0.0% |
| KB Financial Group | 8.3× | 0.9× | — | 9.3× | 3.0% |
| Shinhan Financial Group | 7.5× | 0.7× | — | 10.0× | 3.0% |
| SK | 4.2× | 0.9× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| Hana Financial Group | 7.4× | 0.6× | — | 9.7× | 3.7% |
| Woori Financial Group | 6.8× | 0.6× | — | 8.2× | 4.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.1× | 0.8× | 41.3× | 9.3× | 3.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: LB Investment / LB인베스트먼트 / 309960 / KRX:309960
Source: KRX statistical information