DYC디와이씨
310870 · KOSDAQ · ₩310870 · 디와이씨
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,344
vs the current price (₩1,435)
- Enterprise value
- ₩121B
- Equity value
- ₩73B
- WACC
- 5.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 133% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,435, the model needs an operating margin of 4.3% every year (it uses 5.9%).
- Or revenue growth −12.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −0.5% to 7.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 4.2× against a typical 9.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩82
- −94.3%
- Base
- ₩3,344
- +133.0%
- Bull
- ₩10,670
- +643.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.9%).
Revenue growth
- -2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 23.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩129B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩47B
- Shares
- 21,922,602
- Share price
- ₩1,435
- Market cap
- ₩31B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩122B | ₩100B | ₩111B | ₩125B | ₩124B | ₩124B | ₩126B | ₩130B |
| Growth | 1.5% | −18.2% | 10.9% | −2.7% | −1.3% | 0.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩9.1B | ₩4.9B | ₩5.1B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.7B |
| EBIT margin | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩6.6B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5.5B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.3B | ₩5.8B | ₩8.9B | ₩6.9B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩7.8B | ₩3B | ₩1.1B | −₩828M | −₩388M | ₩29M | ₩472M | ₩899M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.8B | ₩4.3B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.949 | 0.902 | 0.856 | 0.813 | 0.772 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.6B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.3B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.5B |
Terminal value ₩134B, worth ₩103B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,785 a share)Now 0.52× | ₩1,4130.51× | ₩1,8340.66× | ₩2,5980.93× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩338 a share)Now 4.25× | ₩1,4794.38× | ₩3,0859.13× | ₩6,56419.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩553 a share)Now 2.60× | ₩2,4204.38× | ₩5,0469.13× | ₩10,73819.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3% | ₩3,893 | ₩4,649 | ₩5,727 | ₩7,396 | ₩10,324 |
| 4.8% | ₩3,089 | ₩3,614 | ₩4,324 | ₩5,338 | ₩6,905 |
| 5.3% | ₩2,471 | ₩2,851 | ₩3,344 | ₩4,010 | ₩4,961 |
| 5.8% | ₩1,982 | ₩2,265 | ₩2,621 | ₩3,083 | ₩3,706 |
| 6.3% | ₩1,585 | ₩1,801 | ₩2,066 | ₩2,398 | ₩2,829 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩31B
- Enterprise value
- ₩78B
- P/E
- 4.2×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,245 | ₩1,615 | ₩1,713 | ₩1,540 | ₩2,700 |
| Market cap | ₩27B | ₩35B | ₩38B | ₩34B | ₩59B |
| P/E | 7.4× | 56.1× | 8.5× | 7.9× | — |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 1.5× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.6% | 1.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DYC | 4.2× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.4% |
| Hyundai Mobis | 8.3× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 1.9% |
| SL | 5.9× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 3.6× | 0.0% |
| HL Mando | 10.3× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 2.0% |
| Hyundai WIA | 18.9× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| Samhyun | — | 11.2× | 15.8× | — | 0.0% |
| SNT Dynamics | 12.5× | 0.7× | 0.8× | — | 7.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.3× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 3.6× | 2.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: DYC / 디와이씨 / 310870 / KRX:310870
Source: KRX statistical information