Carry

313760 · KOSDAQ · ₩313760 · 캐리

₩468 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩19B
Equity value
−₩39B
WACC
4.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩468, the model needs an operating margin of 32.6% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −79.9% to −3.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-47.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-47.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-47.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-47.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-47.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 19.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 24.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩4.1B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩19B
− Minority interests
₩34M
Shares
11,207,186
Share price
₩468
Market cap
₩5.2B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩17B₩8.2B₩7.5B₩3.7B₩3.5B₩3.3B₩3.3B₩3.4B
Growth−67.5%−51.9%−8.5%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩14B−₩4B−₩4.9B−₩744M−₩694M−₩670M−₩668M−₩688M
EBIT margin−79.9%−49.2%−65.1%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩9.8B−₩2.9B−₩3.5B−₩539M−₩503M−₩485M−₩484M−₩499M
+ Depreciation———₩729M₩680M₩656M₩655M₩674M
− Capital spending₩125M₩5.9B₩8.2M₩911M₩850M₩820M₩819M₩843M
− Working capital−₩8.3B−₩7.4B−₩9.7B₩41M₩25M₩12M₩669,544−₩10M
Free cash flow———−₩763M−₩698M−₩662M−₩649M−₩658M
Discount factor———0.9540.9110.8690.8300.792
Present value———−₩728M−₩636M−₩575M−₩538M−₩521M

Terminal value −₩21B, worth −₩16B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,701 a share)Now 0.28×₩4680.28×₩5,5363.25×₩11,3986.70×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.8%—————
4.3%—————
4.8%—————
5.3%—————
5.8%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩5.2B
Enterprise value
₩25B
P/E
—
P/B
0.3×
P/S
1.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,374₩3,935₩6,730₩6,810₩22,900
Market cap₩15B₩44B₩75B₩76B₩257B
P/E—————
P/B0.7×2.2×5.8×2.6×7.1×
P/S2.1×5.4×4.4×1.5×7.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Carry—0.3×1.3×—0.0%
LS Electric63.5×11.6×4.3×39.3×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries31.8×7.2×2.9×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric19.6×7.4×3.8×—0.0%
Gaon Cable117.0×14.2×2.6×61.1×0.0%
Sanil Electric27.9×7.6×8.5×—0.8%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.3×1.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)31.8×7.5×3.4×50.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Carry / 캐리 / 313760 / KRX:313760

Source: KRX statistical information