Biodyne

314930 · KOSDAQ · ₩314930 · 바이오다인

₩5,890▲ ₩120 (2.08%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩209

vs the current price (₩5,890)

Enterprise value
−₩16B
Equity value
₩6.2B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 96% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
  • Margins ranged from −62.2% to 54.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 93% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩309
−94.8%
Base
₩209
−96.5%
Bull
₩70
−98.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−18.1%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -18.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 13.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 35.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 18.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩5.8B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩15B
+ Stakes and investments
₩7.9B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
29,764,103
Share price
₩5,890
Market cap
₩175B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩4.1B₩5.3B₩7B₩5.2B₩4.8B₩4.7B₩4.7B₩4.8B
Growth−66.5%28.9%33.3%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩2.1B−₩1.7B₩652M−₩941M−₩878M−₩847M−₩845M−₩871M
EBIT margin−50.2%−32.8%9.3%−18.1%−18.1%−18.1%−18.1%−18.1%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.5B−₩1.3B₩473M−₩682M−₩636M−₩614M−₩613M−₩631M
+ Depreciation₩818M₩768M₩476M₩717M₩669M₩646M₩644M₩664M
− Capital spending₩670M₩539M₩5.6B₩1.9B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.7B
− Working capital−₩10B−₩304M₩1.3B−₩107M−₩64M−₩31M−₩1.7M₩26M
Free cash flow₩8.8B−₩722M−₩6B−₩1.7B−₩1.6B−₩1.6B−₩1.6B−₩1.7B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———−₩1.6B−₩1.4B−₩1.3B−₩1.2B−₩1.2B

Terminal value −₩14B, worth −₩9.7B today: 59% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,478 a share)Now 3.98×₩6,1714.17×₩9,9336.72×₩15,89710.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩194₩156₩108₩48—
6.8%₩233₩202₩163₩116₩57
7.3%₩266₩240₩209₩171₩124
7.8%₩294₩272₩246₩216₩178
8.3%₩319₩300₩278₩253₩222

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩175B
Enterprise value
₩161B
P/E
222.5×
P/B
4.0×
P/S
30.4×
EV/EBITDA
311.8×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩13,500₩16,100₩13,509₩4,739₩6,942
Market cap₩402B₩479B₩402B₩141B₩207B
P/E471.8×44,493.5×—25.1×—
P/B9.1×11.1×9.3×3.2×5.4×
P/S57.2×90.9×98.3×11.6×54.9×
EV/EBITDA342.0×——17.6×—
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Biodyne222.5×4.0×30.4×311.8×0.0%
TSE23.5×5.2×4.3×—0.2%
Kctech19.8×3.0×3.6×15.3×0.5%
Classys12.4×3.1×4.6×9.7×3.8%
Park Systems66.3×4.5×7.9×—0.2%
DI37.8×5.2×2.3×—0.6%
LivsMed—6.1×19.4×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)23.5×4.8×4.5×12.5×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Biodyne / 바이오다인 / 314930 / KRX:314930

Source: KRX statistical information