Biodyne바이오다인
314930 · KOSDAQ · ₩314930 · 바이오다인
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩209
vs the current price (₩5,890)
- Enterprise value
- −₩16B
- Equity value
- ₩6.2B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 96% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −62.2% to 54.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 93% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩309
- −94.8%
- Base
- ₩209
- −96.5%
- Bull
- ₩70
- −98.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−18.1%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -18.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 13.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 35.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 18.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩5.8B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩15B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩7.9B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 29,764,103
- Share price
- ₩5,890
- Market cap
- ₩175B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩4.1B | ₩5.3B | ₩7B | ₩5.2B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.8B |
| Growth | −66.5% | 28.9% | 33.3% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩2.1B | −₩1.7B | ₩652M | −₩941M | −₩878M | −₩847M | −₩845M | −₩871M |
| EBIT margin | −50.2% | −32.8% | 9.3% | −18.1% | −18.1% | −18.1% | −18.1% | −18.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.5B | −₩1.3B | ₩473M | −₩682M | −₩636M | −₩614M | −₩613M | −₩631M |
| + Depreciation | ₩818M | ₩768M | ₩476M | ₩717M | ₩669M | ₩646M | ₩644M | ₩664M |
| − Capital spending | ₩670M | ₩539M | ₩5.6B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| − Working capital | −₩10B | −₩304M | ₩1.3B | −₩107M | −₩64M | −₩31M | −₩1.7M | ₩26M |
| Free cash flow | ₩8.8B | −₩722M | −₩6B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.6B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B |
Terminal value −₩14B, worth −₩9.7B today: 59% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,478 a share)Now 3.98× | ₩6,1714.17× | ₩9,9336.72× | ₩15,89710.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩194 | ₩156 | ₩108 | ₩48 | — |
| 6.8% | ₩233 | ₩202 | ₩163 | ₩116 | ₩57 |
| 7.3% | ₩266 | ₩240 | ₩209 | ₩171 | ₩124 |
| 7.8% | ₩294 | ₩272 | ₩246 | ₩216 | ₩178 |
| 8.3% | ₩319 | ₩300 | ₩278 | ₩253 | ₩222 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩175B
- Enterprise value
- ₩161B
- P/E
- 222.5×
- P/B
- 4.0×
- P/S
- 30.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- 311.8×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩13,500 | ₩16,100 | ₩13,509 | ₩4,739 | ₩6,942 |
| Market cap | ₩402B | ₩479B | ₩402B | ₩141B | ₩207B |
| P/E | 471.8× | 44,493.5× | — | 25.1× | — |
| P/B | 9.1× | 11.1× | 9.3× | 3.2× | 5.4× |
| P/S | 57.2× | 90.9× | 98.3× | 11.6× | 54.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | 342.0× | — | — | 17.6× | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Biodyne / 바이오다인 / 314930 / KRX:314930
Source: KRX statistical information