TS TrillionTS트릴리온
317240 · KOSDAQ · ₩317240 · TS트릴리온
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩1.4B
- Equity value
- −₩15B
- WACC
- 10.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,152, the model needs an operating margin of 22.5% every year (it uses −1.2%).
- Margins ranged from −15.3% to 3.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−1.2%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-25.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-25.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-25.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-25.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-25.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -1.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 12.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 1.69
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 2.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩31B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩13B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩99M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 29,176,711
- Share price
- ₩1,152
- Market cap
- ₩34B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩40B | ₩31B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| Growth | −36.5% | −23.1% | −15.4% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩1.2B | ₩381M | ₩26M | −₩338M | −₩316M | −₩305M | −₩304M | −₩313M |
| EBIT margin | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | −1.2% | −1.2% | −1.2% | −1.2% | −1.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩889M | ₩276M | ₩19M | −₩245M | −₩229M | −₩221M | −₩220M | −₩227M |
| + Depreciation | ₩816M | — | ₩85M | ₩338M | ₩316M | ₩305M | ₩304M | ₩313M |
| − Capital spending | — | ₩11M | — | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 |
| − Working capital | ₩144M | −₩833M | −₩3B | −₩398M | −₩240M | −₩117M | −₩6.4M | ₩97M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩491M | ₩327M | ₩201M | ₩90M | −₩10M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.903 | 0.815 | 0.736 | 0.665 | 0.600 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩443M | ₩266M | ₩148M | ₩60M | −₩6.3M |
Terminal value −₩3.8B, worth −₩2.3B today: 167% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,115 a share)Now 1.03× | ₩1,2671.14× | ₩2,4752.22× | ₩17,11415.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩34B
- Enterprise value
- ₩44B
- P/E
- 432.8×
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 1.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- 19.9×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,515 | ₩1,395 | ₩3,027 | ₩3,875 | ₩4,652 |
| Market cap | ₩44B | ₩41B | ₩88B | ₩113B | ₩136B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 1.5× | 1.6× | 3.3× | 6.3× | 9.0× |
| P/S | 1.7× | 1.3× | 2.2× | 1.8× | 2.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | 471.3× | — | 64.0× | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TS Trillion | 432.8× | 1.0× | 1.1× | 19.9× | 0.0% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.3× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 2.1× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.9× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.9× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: TS Trillion / TS트릴리온 / 317240 / KRX:317240
Source: KRX statistical information