Point Mobile포인트모바일
318020 · KOSDAQ · ₩318020 · 포인트모바일
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩12B
- Equity value
- −₩6.4B
- WACC
- 6.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,275, the model needs an operating margin of 4.4% every year (it uses 2.5%).
- 48% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 2.0× against a typical 18.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩4,258
- +87.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.5%).
Revenue growth
- -0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 6.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 36.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩104B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩19B
- Shares
- 12,301,272
- Share price
- ₩2,275
- Market cap
- ₩28B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩80B | ₩77B | ₩87B | ₩104B | ₩105B | ₩106B | ₩108B | ₩112B |
| Growth | −8.6% | −3.4% | 12.8% | −0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.6B | −₩1.4B | ₩3B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B |
| EBIT margin | 5.8% | −1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.4B | −₩1B | ₩2.2B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5.1B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.5B |
| − Capital spending | ₩688M | ₩13B | ₩282M | ₩6.4B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.6B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.9B |
| − Working capital | −₩6.7B | −₩2.4B | ₩10B | −₩38M | ₩229M | ₩538M | ₩857M | ₩1.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩571M | ₩307M | ₩6.1M | −₩301M | −₩621M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.943 | 0.889 | 0.839 | 0.791 | 0.746 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩539M | ₩273M | ₩5.2M | −₩238M | −₩463M |
Terminal value ₩17B, worth ₩12B today: 99% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,765 a share)Now 0.48× | ₩3,3040.69× | ₩9,8052.06× | ₩14,4253.03× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,151 a share)Now 1.98× | ₩2,6502.30× | ₩21,67818.8× | ₩41,38836.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,497 a share)Now 1.52× | ₩3,4462.30× | ₩28,19118.8× | ₩53,82336.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | ₩170 | ₩46 | — | — | — |
| 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩28B
- Enterprise value
- ₩46B
- P/E
- 2.0×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,835 | ₩2,890 | ₩11,500 | ₩11,500 | ₩11,278 |
| Market cap | ₩47B | ₩36B | ₩141B | ₩141B | ₩139B |
| P/E | 16.5× | 22.4× | 29.2× | — | — |
| P/B | 0.9× | 0.7× | 3.0× | 3.4× | 2.7× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.5× | 1.8× | 1.6× | 1.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | 60.9× |
| Dividend yield | 2.6% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point Mobile | 2.0× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 4.4% |
| Samsung Electronics | 9.5× | 2.5× | 2.9× | — | 0.7% |
| LG Electronics | 25.3× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Hanwha Vision | 17.0× | 2.1× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 41.3× | 3.7× | 6.7× | — | 0.8% |
| KMW | — | 5.0× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 13.4× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 17.0× | 2.3× | 2.3× | — | 0.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Point Mobile / 포인트모바일 / 318020 / KRX:318020
Source: KRX statistical information