PSK피에스케이
319660 · KOSDAQ · ₩319660 · 피에스케이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩42,282
vs the current price (₩115,100)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- Equity value
- ₩1.2T
- WACC
- 8.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 63% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩115,100, the model needs an operating margin of 56.0% every year (it uses 20.4%).
- Or revenue growth +30.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 26.7× against a typical 9.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩31,169
- −72.9%
- Base
- ₩42,282
- −63.3%
- Bull
- ₩59,417
- −48.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (20.4%).
Revenue growth
- -0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 20.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 6.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.87
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.8, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩571B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩130B
- − Minority interests
- ₩109M
- Shares
- 28,966,714
- Share price
- ₩115,100
- Market cap
- ₩3.3T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩352B | ₩398B | ₩457B | ₩569B | ₩572B | ₩580B | ₩593B | ₩611B |
| Growth | −23.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | −0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩54B | ₩84B | ₩88B | ₩116B | ₩117B | ₩118B | ₩121B | ₩125B |
| EBIT margin | 15.4% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩39B | ₩61B | ₩64B | ₩84B | ₩85B | ₩86B | ₩88B | ₩90B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩30B |
| − Capital spending | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩19B | ₩35B | ₩35B | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩37B |
| − Working capital | −₩16B | ₩18B | ₩6.6B | −₩685M | ₩1.1B | ₩3.2B | ₩5.1B | ₩7.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩78B | ₩77B | ₩76B | ₩75B | ₩76B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.918 | 0.843 | 0.774 | 0.711 | 0.653 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩72B | ₩65B | ₩59B | ₩54B | ₩50B |
Terminal value ₩1.2T, worth ₩797B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩21,228 a share)Now 5.42× | ₩25,9751.22× | ₩38,7911.83× | ₩101,2034.77× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,313 a share)Now 26.7× | ₩27,6896.42× | ₩41,0329.51× | ₩130,92830.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩6,066 a share)Now 19.0× | ₩38,9396.42× | ₩57,7059.51× | ₩184,12730.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | ₩44,415 | ₩46,410 | ₩48,739 | ₩51,495 | ₩54,808 |
| 8.4% | ₩41,666 | ₩43,334 | ₩45,258 | ₩47,504 | ₩50,161 |
| 8.9% | ₩39,267 | ₩40,675 | ₩42,282 | ₩44,137 | ₩46,302 |
| 9.4% | ₩37,156 | ₩38,354 | ₩39,710 | ₩41,260 | ₩43,047 |
| 9.9% | ₩35,282 | ₩36,310 | ₩37,465 | ₩38,772 | ₩40,265 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩3.3T
- Enterprise value
- ₩3.2T
- P/E
- 26.7×
- P/B
- 5.4×
- P/S
- 5.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩36,900 | ₩16,500 | ₩21,050 | ₩15,400 | ₩26,400 |
| Market cap | ₩1.1T | ₩478B | ₩610B | ₩446B | ₩765B |
| P/E | 13.6× | 6.0× | 11.6× | 5.8× | 10.0× |
| P/B | 2.0× | 1.0× | 1.6× | 1.3× | 2.6× |
| P/S | 2.3× | 1.2× | 1.7× | 1.0× | 1.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.8% | 2.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSK | 26.7× | 5.4× | 5.8× | — | 0.6% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 1,116.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: PSK / 피에스케이 / 319660 / KRX:319660
Source: KRX statistical information