PSK

319660 · KOSDAQ · ₩319660 · 피에스케이

₩115,100▲ ₩6,100 (5.60%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩42,282

vs the current price (₩115,100)

Enterprise value
₩1.1T
Equity value
₩1.2T
WACC
8.9%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 63% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩115,100, the model needs an operating margin of 56.0% every year (it uses 20.4%).
  • Or revenue growth +30.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Today's P/E is 26.7× against a typical 9.5× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩31,169
−72.9%
Base
₩42,282
−63.3%
Bull
₩59,417
−48.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (20.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 20.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 6.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.87

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.8, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩571B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩130B
− Minority interests
₩109M
Shares
28,966,714
Share price
₩115,100
Market cap
₩3.3T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩352B₩398B₩457B₩569B₩572B₩580B₩593B₩611B
Growth−23.7%13.1%14.9%−0.3%0.5%1.4%2.2%3.0%
EBIT₩54B₩84B₩88B₩116B₩117B₩118B₩121B₩125B
EBIT margin15.4%21.1%19.4%20.4%20.4%20.4%20.4%20.4%
After-tax EBIT₩39B₩61B₩64B₩84B₩85B₩86B₩88B₩90B
+ Depreciation———₩28B₩28B₩28B₩29B₩30B
− Capital spending₩26B₩27B₩19B₩35B₩35B₩35B₩36B₩37B
− Working capital−₩16B₩18B₩6.6B−₩685M₩1.1B₩3.2B₩5.1B₩7.1B
Free cash flow———₩78B₩77B₩76B₩75B₩76B
Discount factor———0.9180.8430.7740.7110.653
Present value———₩72B₩65B₩59B₩54B₩50B

Terminal value ₩1.2T, worth ₩797B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩21,228 a share)Now 5.42×₩25,9751.22×₩38,7911.83×₩101,2034.77×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,313 a share)Now 26.7×₩27,6896.42×₩41,0329.51×₩130,92830.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩6,066 a share)Now 19.0×₩38,9396.42×₩57,7059.51×₩184,12730.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.9%₩44,415₩46,410₩48,739₩51,495₩54,808
8.4%₩41,666₩43,334₩45,258₩47,504₩50,161
8.9%₩39,267₩40,675₩42,282₩44,137₩46,302
9.4%₩37,156₩38,354₩39,710₩41,260₩43,047
9.9%₩35,282₩36,310₩37,465₩38,772₩40,265

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩3.3T
Enterprise value
₩3.2T
P/E
26.7×
P/B
5.4×
P/S
5.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩36,900₩16,500₩21,050₩15,400₩26,400
Market cap₩1.1T₩478B₩610B₩446B₩765B
P/E13.6×6.0×11.6×5.8×10.0×
P/B2.0×1.0×1.6×1.3×2.6×
P/S2.3×1.2×1.7×1.0×1.7×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.8%2.4%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
PSK26.7×5.4×5.8×—0.6%
Doosan Enerbility208.4×4.6×2.1×—0.0%
Hanmi Semiconductor82.2×24.4×33.1×74.0×0.4%
Jusung Engineering1,121.0×13.7×36.0×2,158.2×0.0%
Rainbow Robotics4,006.5×51.3×151.2×—0.0%
EO Technics44.8×6.5×10.9×—0.0%
Doosan Bobcat13,664.7×914.4×736.1×—3.5%
Similar companies (median)664.7×19.1×34.5×1,116.1×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: PSK / 피에스케이 / 319660 / KRX:319660

Source: KRX statistical information