JLK제이엘케이
322510 · KOSDAQ · ₩322510 · 제이엘케이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩123
vs the current price (₩4,840)
- Enterprise value
- −₩7.3B
- Equity value
- ₩3.2B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 97% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −891.9% to −196.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩174
- −96.4%
- Base
- ₩123
- −97.5%
- Bull
- ₩50
- −99.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.7B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩10B
- − Minority interests
- ₩2.3M
- Shares
- 25,725,892
- Share price
- ₩4,840
- Market cap
- ₩125B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩2.5B | ₩1.4B | ₩3.3B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B |
| Growth | −27.1% | −42.6% | 133.9% | −0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩7.1B | −₩13B | −₩13B | −₩541M | −₩542M | −₩548M | −₩559M | −₩576M |
| EBIT margin | −287.2% | −891.9% | −395.3% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩5.2B | −₩9.2B | −₩9.6B | −₩392M | −₩393M | −₩397M | −₩406M | −₩418M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩81M | ₩81M | ₩82M | ₩84M | ₩86M |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩108M | ₩108M | ₩110M | ₩112M | ₩115M |
| − Working capital | ₩48M | −₩169M | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9M | −₩540,889 | −₩3M | −₩5.8M | −₩8.4M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩421M | −₩419M | −₩422M | −₩428M | −₩438M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩392M | −₩364M | −₩340M | −₩321M | −₩307M |
Terminal value −₩7.9B, worth −₩5.5B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,349 a share)Now 3.59× | ₩4,5323.36× | ₩6,8545.08× | ₩57,61742.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩111 | ₩88 | ₩59 | ₩23 | — |
| 6.9% | ₩136 | ₩117 | ₩94 | ₩66 | ₩31 |
| 7.4% | ₩157 | ₩141 | ₩123 | ₩100 | ₩73 |
| 7.9% | ₩175 | ₩162 | ₩146 | ₩128 | ₩106 |
| 8.4% | ₩190 | ₩179 | ₩166 | ₩151 | ₩134 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩125B
- Enterprise value
- ₩114B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 3.6×
- P/S
- 45.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,560 | ₩8,150 | ₩16,922 | ₩2,428 | ₩5,882 |
| Market cap | ₩143B | ₩210B | ₩435B | ₩62B | ₩151B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 3.5× | 4.3× | 37.1× | 3.8× | 6.3× |
| P/S | 42.8× | 146.9× | 174.9× | 18.3× | 40.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JLK | — | 3.6× | 45.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: JLK / 제이엘케이 / 322510 / KRX:322510
Source: KRX statistical information