IL Seung일승
333430 · KOSDAQ · ₩333430 · 일승
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,206
vs the current price (₩2,860)
- Enterprise value
- ₩81B
- Equity value
- ₩68B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,234
- −56.8%
- Base
- ₩2,206
- −22.9%
- Bull
- ₩3,844
- +34.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.9%).
Revenue growth
- -8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 12.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 14.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.25, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩57B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩25B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩10B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩48B
- Shares
- 30,726,747
- Share price
- ₩2,860
- Market cap
- ₩88B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩53B | ₩52B | ₩51B | ₩53B | ₩50B | ₩49B | ₩49B | ₩50B |
| Growth | −18.6% | −2.2% | −2.2% | −8.0% | −5.2% | −2.5% | 0.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.3B | ₩6.9B | ₩11B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.5B |
| EBIT margin | 10.0% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.8B | ₩5B | ₩7.9B | ₩4.9B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩158M | ₩150M | ₩146M | ₩147M | ₩151M |
| − Capital spending | ₩122M | ₩245M | ₩278M | ₩211M | ₩200M | ₩195M | ₩196M | ₩202M |
| − Working capital | −₩8.6B | −₩4.5B | ₩4.2B | −₩684M | −₩409M | −₩186M | ₩22M | ₩219M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩5.6B | ₩5B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.4B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩5.2B | ₩4.4B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.1B |
Terminal value ₩87B, worth ₩61B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,715 a share)Now 1.67× | ₩4,1662.43× | ₩5,4233.16× | ₩7,6384.45× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩428 a share)Now 6.68× | ₩5,73813.4× | ₩15,75236.8× | ₩30,65571.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩591 a share)Now 4.84× | ₩7,92313.4× | ₩21,74936.8× | ₩42,32771.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩2,332 | ₩2,544 | ₩2,804 | ₩3,133 | ₩3,562 |
| 6.8% | ₩2,097 | ₩2,268 | ₩2,474 | ₩2,728 | ₩3,048 |
| 7.3% | ₩1,900 | ₩2,039 | ₩2,206 | ₩2,406 | ₩2,653 |
| 7.8% | ₩1,731 | ₩1,847 | ₩1,983 | ₩2,145 | ₩2,340 |
| 8.3% | ₩1,586 | ₩1,683 | ₩1,796 | ₩1,929 | ₩2,086 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩88B
- Enterprise value
- ₩63B
- P/E
- 6.7×
- P/B
- 1.7×
- P/S
- 1.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,960 | ₩4,280 | ₩2,780 | ₩3,070 | ₩2,630 |
| Market cap | ₩183B | ₩132B | ₩85B | ₩94B | ₩81B |
| P/E | 24.6× | 75.7× | 22.2× | 39.0× | — |
| P/B | 4.0× | 3.5× | 2.2× | 2.8× | 2.6× |
| P/S | 3.6× | 2.5× | 1.6× | 1.5× | 1.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IL Seung | 6.7× | 1.7× | 1.5× | — | 0.0% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries | 11.4× | 2.7× | 1.3× | — | 2.1% |
| Hanwha Ocean | 7.4× | 2.0× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Heavy Industries | 24.7× | 2.9× | 1.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Daehan Shipbuilding | 4.4× | 1.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.7% |
| Sejin Heavy Industries | 6.2× | 1.6× | 1.0× | — | 3.2% |
| Hyundai Hyms | 13.8× | 1.3× | 1.3× | — | 1.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 9.4× | 1.8× | 1.1× | — | 1.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: IL Seung / 일승 / 333430 / KRX:333430
Source: KRX statistical information