IL Seung

333430 · KOSDAQ · ₩333430 · 일승

₩2,860▼ ₩80 (2.72%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,206

vs the current price (₩2,860)

Enterprise value
₩81B
Equity value
₩68B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,234
−56.8%
Base
₩2,206
−22.9%
Bull
₩3,844
+34.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 12.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 14.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.25, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩57B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩25B
+ Stakes and investments
₩10B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩48B
Shares
30,726,747
Share price
₩2,860
Market cap
₩88B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩53B₩52B₩51B₩53B₩50B₩49B₩49B₩50B
Growth−18.6%−2.2%−2.2%−8.0%−5.2%−2.5%0.3%3.0%
EBIT₩5.3B₩6.9B₩11B₩6.8B₩6.5B₩6.3B₩6.3B₩6.5B
EBIT margin10.0%13.3%21.4%12.9%12.9%12.9%12.9%12.9%
After-tax EBIT₩3.8B₩5B₩7.9B₩4.9B₩4.7B₩4.6B₩4.6B₩4.7B
+ Depreciation———₩158M₩150M₩146M₩147M₩151M
− Capital spending₩122M₩245M₩278M₩211M₩200M₩195M₩196M₩202M
− Working capital−₩8.6B−₩4.5B₩4.2B−₩684M−₩409M−₩186M₩22M₩219M
Free cash flow———₩5.6B₩5B₩4.7B₩4.5B₩4.4B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩5.2B₩4.4B₩3.8B₩3.4B₩3.1B

Terminal value ₩87B, worth ₩61B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,715 a share)Now 1.67×₩4,1662.43×₩5,4233.16×₩7,6384.45×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩428 a share)Now 6.68×₩5,73813.4×₩15,75236.8×₩30,65571.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩591 a share)Now 4.84×₩7,92313.4×₩21,74936.8×₩42,32771.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩2,332₩2,544₩2,804₩3,133₩3,562
6.8%₩2,097₩2,268₩2,474₩2,728₩3,048
7.3%₩1,900₩2,039₩2,206₩2,406₩2,653
7.8%₩1,731₩1,847₩1,983₩2,145₩2,340
8.3%₩1,586₩1,683₩1,796₩1,929₩2,086

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩88B
Enterprise value
₩63B
P/E
6.7×
P/B
1.7×
P/S
1.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,960₩4,280₩2,780₩3,070₩2,630
Market cap₩183B₩132B₩85B₩94B₩81B
P/E24.6×75.7×22.2×39.0×—
P/B4.0×3.5×2.2×2.8×2.6×
P/S3.6×2.5×1.6×1.5×1.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
IL Seung6.7×1.7×1.5×—0.0%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries11.4×2.7×1.3×—2.1%
Hanwha Ocean7.4×2.0×1.0×—0.0%
Samsung Heavy Industries24.7×2.9×1.2×—0.0%
Daehan Shipbuilding4.4×1.1×1.0×—0.7%
Sejin Heavy Industries6.2×1.6×1.0×—3.2%
Hyundai Hyms13.8×1.3×1.3×—1.3%
Similar companies (median)9.4×1.8×1.1×—1.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: IL Seung / 일승 / 333430 / KRX:333430

Source: KRX statistical information