T&L티앤엘
340570 · KOSDAQ · ₩340570 · 티앤엘
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩70,596
vs the current price (₩24,500)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- Equity value
- ₩1.1T
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 188% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩24,500, the model needs an operating margin of 12.0% every year (it uses 30.4%).
- Or revenue growth −26.9 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 11.4× against a typical 13.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩49,300
- +101.2%
- Base
- ₩70,596
- +188.1%
- Bull
- ₩104,790
- +327.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (30.4%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (26.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (26.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (26.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (26.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (26.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 30.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 8.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 11.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 25.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩175B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩32B
- Shares
- 16,070,120
- Share price
- ₩24,500
- Market cap
- ₩394B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩115B | ₩175B | ₩164B | ₩219B | ₩262B | ₩298B | ₩324B | ₩333B |
| Growth | 41.5% | 51.5% | −6.1% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩31B | ₩57B | ₩46B | ₩67B | ₩80B | ₩91B | ₩98B | ₩101B |
| EBIT margin | 26.7% | 32.6% | 28.2% | 30.4% | 30.4% | 30.4% | 30.4% | 30.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩22B | ₩41B | ₩34B | ₩48B | ₩58B | ₩66B | ₩71B | ₩73B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩19B | ₩23B | ₩27B | ₩29B | ₩30B |
| − Capital spending | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩18B | ₩24B | ₩29B | ₩33B | ₩36B | ₩37B |
| − Working capital | ₩13B | −₩12B | ₩7.3B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩9.2B | ₩6.4B | ₩2.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩32B | ₩41B | ₩50B | ₩58B | ₩64B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩30B | ₩36B | ₩40B | ₩43B | ₩45B |
Terminal value ₩1.3T, worth ₩908B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,952 a share)Now 1.76× | ₩29,7212.13× | ₩42,7903.07× | ₩55,8814.01× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,154 a share)Now 11.4× | ₩19,6369.12× | ₩28,39013.2× | ₩38,56617.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩873 a share)Now 28.1× | ₩7,9579.12× | ₩11,50513.2× | ₩15,62917.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩73,803 | ₩79,776 | ₩87,100 | ₩96,293 | ₩108,178 |
| 6.9% | ₩67,337 | ₩72,178 | ₩78,003 | ₩85,144 | ₩94,109 |
| 7.4% | ₩61,887 | ₩65,874 | ₩70,596 | ₩76,275 | ₩83,239 |
| 7.9% | ₩57,232 | ₩60,560 | ₩64,449 | ₩69,053 | ₩74,592 |
| 8.4% | ₩53,212 | ₩56,022 | ₩59,268 | ₩63,060 | ₩67,550 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩394B
- Enterprise value
- ₩361B
- P/E
- 11.4×
- P/B
- 1.8×
- P/S
- 2.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩24,824 | ₩33,857 | ₩20,243 | ₩18,320 | ₩23,938 |
| Market cap | ₩399B | ₩544B | ₩325B | ₩294B | ₩385B |
| P/E | 10.5× | 11.7× | 11.9× | 13.9× | 19.6× |
| P/B | 2.0× | 3.2× | 2.5× | 2.8× | 4.3× |
| P/S | 2.4× | 3.1× | 2.8× | 3.6× | 5.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 1.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T&L | 11.4× | 1.8× | 2.2× | — | 3.1% |
| Samsung Biologics | 32.1× | 7.6× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.8× | 2.4× | 8.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 78.8× | 28.4× | 59.9× | — | 0.1% |
| Yuhan | 24.8× | 2.5× | 2.6× | 32.5× | 0.8% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.6× | 5.7× | 6.8× | — | 0.0% |
| HLB | — | 15.4× | 54.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.8× | 6.7× | 11.5× | 32.5× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: T&L / 티앤엘 / 340570 / KRX:340570
Source: KRX statistical information