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Sphere

347700 · KOSDAQ · ₩347700 · 스피어

₩20,750 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩1.1T
Equity value
−₩1.4T
WACC
6.7%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩20,750, the model needs an operating margin of 32.0% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −288.4% to 9.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (223.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (223.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (223.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (223.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (223.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 8.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 10.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩177B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩264B
Shares
51,551,362
Share price
₩20,750
Market cap
₩1.1T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩3.3B₩2.6B₩96B₩221B₩264B₩302B₩327B₩337B
Growth18.0%−23.1%3,639.2%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT−₩9.6B−₩6.4B₩9.1B−₩44B−₩53B−₩60B−₩65B−₩67B
EBIT margin−288.4%−249.2%9.5%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩7B−₩4.6B₩6.6B−₩32B−₩38B−₩44B−₩47B−₩49B
+ Depreciation———₩18B₩21B₩24B₩26B₩27B
− Capital spending₩311M₩537M₩46M₩22B₩27B₩30B₩33B₩34B
− Working capital₩1.2B₩9.6B₩47B₩18B₩17B₩15B₩10B₩3.9B
Free cash flow———−₩54B−₩61B−₩65B−₩64B−₩60B
Discount factor———0.9370.8780.8230.7710.722
Present value———−₩51B−₩53B−₩53B−₩50B−₩43B

Terminal value −₩1.2T, worth −₩847B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,172 a share)Now 6.54×₩24,5977.75×₩78,03624.6×₩140,07244.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.7%—————
6.2%—————
6.7%—————
7.2%—————
7.7%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.1T
Enterprise value
₩1.3T
P/E
—
P/B
6.5×
P/S
6.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩14,690₩3,955₩2,265₩3,694₩8,568
Market cap₩757B₩204B₩117B₩190B₩442B
P/E4,447.8×————
P/B11.9×6.5×13.0×19.9×33.8×
P/S7.9×79.7×35.1×67.5×95.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Sphere—6.5×6.0×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever47.8×4.8×2.0×—0.6%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss8.0×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.5×1.5×2.0×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Sphere / 스피어 / 347700 / KRX:347700

Source: KRX statistical information