D&D Pharmatech디앤디파마텍
347850 · KOSDAQ · ₩347850 · 디앤디파마텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩716
vs the current price (₩40,800)
- Enterprise value
- −₩4.2B
- Equity value
- ₩33B
- WACC
- 9.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 98% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩733
- −98.2%
- Base
- ₩716
- −98.2%
- Bull
- ₩694
- −98.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-62.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-62.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-62.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-62.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-62.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.98
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.96, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.8B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩37B
- Shares
- 45,996,189
- Share price
- ₩40,800
- Market cap
- ₩1.9T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩11B | ₩4.3B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B |
| Growth | — | −62.4% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩25B | −₩34B | −₩495M | −₩462M | −₩446M | −₩445M | −₩458M |
| EBIT margin | −218.7% | −791.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩18B | −₩25B | −₩359M | −₩335M | −₩323M | −₩323M | −₩332M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩52M | ₩49M | ₩47M | ₩47M | ₩48M |
| − Capital spending | ₩416M | ₩64M | ₩64M | ₩60M | ₩58M | ₩58M | ₩60M |
| − Working capital | — | ₩14B | −₩110M | −₩66M | −₩32M | −₩1.8M | ₩27M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | −₩261M | −₩280M | −₩302M | −₩332M | −₩370M |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.913 | 0.834 | 0.762 | 0.696 | 0.635 |
| Present value | — | — | −₩239M | −₩234M | −₩230M | −₩231M | −₩235M |
Terminal value −₩4.8B, worth −₩3.1B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,929 a share)Now 13.9× | ₩18,5546.33× | ₩62,50421.3× | ₩165,23056.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | ₩714 | ₩708 | ₩701 | ₩693 | ₩683 |
| 9.0% | ₩720 | ₩715 | ₩709 | ₩702 | ₩694 |
| 9.5% | ₩726 | ₩721 | ₩716 | ₩710 | ₩703 |
| 10.0% | ₩730 | ₩726 | ₩722 | ₩716 | ₩710 |
| 10.5% | ₩735 | ₩731 | ₩727 | ₩722 | ₩717 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.9T
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.8T
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 13.9×
- P/S
- 682.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩91,800 | ₩12,163 |
| Market cap | ₩4.2T | ₩559B |
| P/E | — | — |
| P/B | 53.1× | 8.0× |
| P/S | 982.5× | 48.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D&D Pharmatech | — | 13.9× | 682.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 32.1× | 7.6× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.8× | 2.4× | 8.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 78.8× | 28.4× | 59.9× | — | 0.1% |
| Yuhan | 24.8× | 2.5× | 2.6× | 32.5× | 0.8% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.6× | 5.7× | 6.8× | — | 0.0% |
| HLB | — | 15.4× | 54.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.8× | 6.7× | 11.5× | 32.5× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: D&D Pharmatech / 디앤디파마텍 / 347850 / KRX:347850
Source: KRX statistical information