Mobirix모비릭스
348030 · KOSDAQ · ₩348030 · 모비릭스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,416
vs the current price (₩3,690)
- Enterprise value
- −₩18B
- Equity value
- ₩23B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,398
- −35.0%
- Base
- ₩2,416
- −34.5%
- Bull
- ₩2,647
- −28.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−5.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩33B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩33B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩8.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 9,603,800
- Share price
- ₩3,690
- Market cap
- ₩35B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩87B | ₩53B | ₩40B | ₩30B | ₩28B | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| Growth | 23.5% | −39.3% | −25.1% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩3.6B | −₩10B | −₩8.9B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.4B |
| EBIT margin | −4.1% | −19.2% | −22.5% | −5.0% | −5.0% | −5.0% | −5.0% | −5.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩2.6B | −₩7.4B | −₩6.5B | −₩1.1B | −₩1B | −₩975M | −₩973M | −₩1B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩179M | ₩167M | ₩161M | ₩161M | ₩166M |
| − Capital spending | ₩596M | ₩455M | ₩211M | ₩209M | ₩195M | ₩188M | ₩188M | ₩193M |
| − Working capital | −₩2.9B | ₩1.1B | −₩2.8B | −₩139M | −₩84M | −₩41M | −₩2.3M | ₩34M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩973M | −₩954M | −₩961M | −₩997M | −₩1.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩907M | −₩828M | −₩777M | −₩752M | −₩747M |
Terminal value −₩20B, worth −₩14B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,175 a share)Now 0.71× | ₩2,7060.52× | ₩5,0170.97× | ₩12,5362.42× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩2,367 | ₩2,194 | ₩1,982 | ₩1,715 | ₩1,367 |
| 6.8% | ₩2,532 | ₩2,392 | ₩2,222 | ₩2,013 | ₩1,749 |
| 7.3% | ₩2,672 | ₩2,555 | ₩2,416 | ₩2,249 | ₩2,042 |
| 7.8% | ₩2,791 | ₩2,693 | ₩2,577 | ₩2,440 | ₩2,275 |
| 8.3% | ₩2,894 | ₩2,810 | ₩2,713 | ₩2,599 | ₩2,464 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩35B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.2B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 1.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,200 | ₩5,090 | ₩8,020 | ₩11,350 | ₩24,000 |
| Market cap | ₩31B | ₩49B | ₩77B | ₩109B | ₩230B |
| P/E | — | — | — | 18.3× | 23.2× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.9× | 1.1× | 1.4× | 3.1× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.9× | 0.9× | 1.5× | 4.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobirix | — | 0.7× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 46.8× | 4.7× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 6.9× | 1.2× | 2.0× | 8.3× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.0× | 3.0× | 5.1× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.7× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Mobirix / 모비릭스 / 348030 / KRX:348030
Source: KRX statistical information