Hurum

353190 · KOSDAQ · ₩353190 · 휴럼

₩2,095▼ ₩90 (4.12%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩320M
Equity value
−₩7.2B
WACC
12.9%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,095, the model needs an operating margin of 4.0% every year (it uses 1.2%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩1,721
−17.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 11.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 1.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 6.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 2

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 2.65, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩95B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩3.9B
+ Stakes and investments
₩98M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩3.1B
Shares
7,875,684
Share price
₩2,095
Market cap
₩16B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩88B₩98B₩99B₩108B₩120B₩131B₩138B₩142B
Growth32.1%11.0%0.9%14.0%11.2%8.5%5.7%3.0%
EBIT₩3.8B₩1B₩1.9B₩1.3B₩1.4B₩1.6B₩1.7B₩1.7B
EBIT margin4.2%1.1%1.9%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.2%
After-tax EBIT₩2.7B₩761M₩1.4B₩941M₩1B₩1.1B₩1.2B₩1.2B
+ Depreciation———₩4.4B₩4.9B₩5.4B₩5.7B₩5.8B
− Capital spending₩3.9M₩12B₩2.7B₩5.5B₩6.1B₩6.7B₩7B₩7.2B
− Working capital−₩12B−₩1.3B₩830M₩824M₩751M₩634M₩461M₩257M
Free cash flow———−₩964M−₩908M−₩804M−₩641M−₩441M
Discount factor———0.8860.7850.6950.6160.545
Present value———−₩854M−₩712M−₩559M−₩394M−₩241M

Terminal value ₩4.5B, worth ₩2.4B today: -761% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,951 a share)Now 0.42×₩2,8590.58×₩5,1531.04×₩8,1511.65×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩8 a share)Now 250.5×₩10312.3×₩17220.6×₩59070.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
11.9%—————
12.4%—————
12.9%—————
13.4%—————
13.9%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩16B
Enterprise value
₩20B
P/E
—
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
19.1%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,420₩3,535₩5,645₩5,800₩8,525
Market cap₩27B₩28B₩44B₩46B₩67B
P/E23.2×15.9×13.6×——
P/B0.6×0.7×1.2×1.3×1.9×
P/S0.3×0.3×0.5×0.7×1.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield11.7%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hurum—0.4×0.2×—19.1%
Samyang Foods17.6×5.6×3.1×—0.4%
Orion10.8×1.1×1.3×5.4×3.0%
CJ Cheiljedang—0.3×0.1×—3.5%
Nongshim12.3×0.8×0.7×—1.5%
Otoki17.4×0.6×0.3×—2.8%
Hite Jinro23.7×1.0×0.5×6.4×4.4%
Similar companies (median)17.4×0.9×0.6×5.9×2.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hurum / 휴럼 / 353190 / KRX:353190

Source: KRX statistical information