Hurum휴럼
353190 · KOSDAQ · ₩353190 · 휴럼
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩320M
- Equity value
- −₩7.2B
- WACC
- 12.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,095, the model needs an operating margin of 4.0% every year (it uses 1.2%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩1,721
- −17.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.2%).
Revenue growth
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 1.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 2
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 2.65, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩95B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩3.9B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩98M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩3.1B
- Shares
- 7,875,684
- Share price
- ₩2,095
- Market cap
- ₩16B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩88B | ₩98B | ₩99B | ₩108B | ₩120B | ₩131B | ₩138B | ₩142B |
| Growth | 32.1% | 11.0% | 0.9% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.8B | ₩1B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| EBIT margin | 4.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.7B | ₩761M | ₩1.4B | ₩941M | ₩1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.4B | ₩4.9B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.8B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.9M | ₩12B | ₩2.7B | ₩5.5B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.7B | ₩7B | ₩7.2B |
| − Working capital | −₩12B | −₩1.3B | ₩830M | ₩824M | ₩751M | ₩634M | ₩461M | ₩257M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩964M | −₩908M | −₩804M | −₩641M | −₩441M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.886 | 0.785 | 0.695 | 0.616 | 0.545 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩854M | −₩712M | −₩559M | −₩394M | −₩241M |
Terminal value ₩4.5B, worth ₩2.4B today: -761% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,951 a share)Now 0.42× | ₩2,8590.58× | ₩5,1531.04× | ₩8,1511.65× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩8 a share)Now 250.5× | ₩10312.3× | ₩17220.6× | ₩59070.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 13.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 13.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩16B
- Enterprise value
- ₩20B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 19.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,420 | ₩3,535 | ₩5,645 | ₩5,800 | ₩8,525 |
| Market cap | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩44B | ₩46B | ₩67B |
| P/E | 23.2× | 15.9× | 13.6× | — | — |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.7× | 1.2× | 1.3× | 1.9× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.7× | 1.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 11.7% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurum | — | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 19.1% |
| Samyang Foods | 17.6× | 5.6× | 3.1× | — | 0.4% |
| Orion | 10.8× | 1.1× | 1.3× | 5.4× | 3.0% |
| CJ Cheiljedang | — | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Nongshim | 12.3× | 0.8× | 0.7× | — | 1.5% |
| Otoki | 17.4× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 2.8% |
| Hite Jinro | 23.7× | 1.0× | 0.5× | 6.4× | 4.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 17.4× | 0.9× | 0.6× | 5.9× | 2.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hurum / 휴럼 / 353190 / KRX:353190
Source: KRX statistical information