Daeduck Electronics대덕전자
353200 · KOSPI · ₩353200 · 대덕전자
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩13,339
vs the current price (₩127,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩605B
- Equity value
- ₩687B
- WACC
- 9.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 90% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩127,700, the model needs an operating margin of 57.8% every year (it uses 6.9%).
- Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩1.6T, operating profit ₩280B (17.4% margin) (2 brokers). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩2.1T, operating profit ₩422B (20.6% margin) (2 brokers). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Margins ranged from 1.3% to 17.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 43.3× against a typical 30.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩7,991
- −93.7%
- Base
- ₩13,339
- −89.6%
- Bull
- ₩22,197
- −82.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.9%).
Revenue growth
- -6.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 28.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.93
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.89, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.4T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩76B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩6.2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 51,512,444
- incl. 2,095,519 preferred
- Share price
- ₩127,700
- Market cap
- ₩6.4T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩910B | ₩892B | ₩1.1T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T |
| Growth | −30.9% | −1.9% | 19.4% | −6.8% | −4.4% | −1.9% | 0.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩24B | ₩11B | ₩49B | ₩87B | ₩83B | ₩82B | ₩82B | ₩84B |
| EBIT margin | 2.6% | 1.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩17B | ₩8.2B | ₩36B | ₩63B | ₩60B | ₩59B | ₩59B | ₩61B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩89B | ₩85B | ₩84B | ₩84B | ₩87B |
| − Capital spending | ₩121B | ₩62B | ₩67B | ₩112B | ₩107B | ₩105B | ₩106B | ₩109B |
| − Working capital | ₩68B | ₩91B | ₩70B | −₩26B | −₩16B | −₩6.4B | ₩1.7B | ₩10B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩66B | ₩54B | ₩44B | ₩36B | ₩29B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.916 | 0.839 | 0.769 | 0.705 | 0.646 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩61B | ₩45B | ₩34B | ₩26B | ₩19B |
Terminal value ₩651B, worth ₩420B today: 69% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩18,963 a share)Now 6.73× | ₩19,9241.05× | ₩29,3141.55× | ₩102,9335.43× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,952 a share)Now 43.3× | ₩19,5566.62× | ₩89,98030.5× | ₩225,87276.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,478 a share)Now 28.5× | ₩29,6666.62× | ₩136,50130.5× | ₩342,65076.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | ₩14,358 | ₩14,747 | ₩15,195 | ₩15,718 | ₩16,338 |
| 8.6% | ₩13,529 | ₩13,841 | ₩14,197 | ₩14,607 | ₩15,086 |
| 9.1% | ₩12,801 | ₩13,054 | ₩13,339 | ₩13,664 | ₩14,038 |
| 9.6% | ₩12,159 | ₩12,364 | ₩12,594 | ₩12,853 | ₩13,147 |
| 10.1% | ₩11,587 | ₩11,755 | ₩11,940 | ₩12,147 | ₩12,381 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩6.3T
- Enterprise value
- ₩6.2T
- P/E
- 41.5×
- P/B
- 6.5×
- P/S
- 4.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩47,100 | ₩15,500 | ₩27,050 | ₩18,900 | ₩24,900 |
| Market cap | ₩2.3T | ₩766B | ₩1.3T | ₩934B | ₩1.2T |
| P/E | 48.9× | 32.2× | 52.7× | 5.1× | 19.5× |
| P/B | 2.6× | 0.9× | 1.5× | 1.1× | 1.8× |
| P/S | 2.2× | 0.9× | 1.5× | 0.7× | 1.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.1% | 2.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeduck Electronics | 41.5× | 6.5× | 4.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 89.0× | 8.8× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 36.8× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 67.9× | 2.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.4× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 32.5× | 7.6× | 5.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Leeno Industrial | 24.9× | 6.0× | 11.0× | — | 1.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 34.7× | 5.6× | 3.9× | — | 0.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Daeduck Electronics / 대덕전자 / 353200 / KRX:353200
Source: KRX statistical information