Samyoung S&C삼영에스앤씨
361670 · KOSDAQ · ₩361670 · 삼영에스앤씨
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩21B
- Equity value
- −₩17B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,905, the model needs an operating margin of 15.7% every year (it uses −15.4%).
- Margins ranged from −30.4% to −4.6% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−15.4%).
Revenue growth
- -7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -15.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩11B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩3.9B
- Shares
- 5,667,658
- Share price
- ₩3,905
- Market cap
- ₩22B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩9.9B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.8B | ₩10B |
| Growth | −14.6% | 6.4% | −11.4% | −7.0% | −4.5% | −2.0% | 0.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩3.5B | −₩3.1B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.5B |
| EBIT margin | −30.4% | −25.2% | −15.5% | −15.4% | −15.4% | −15.4% | −15.4% | −15.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩2.6B | −₩2.3B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.1B | −₩1.1B | −₩1.1B | −₩1.1B |
| + Depreciation | ₩442M | ₩568M | ₩485M | ₩447M | ₩427M | ₩418M | ₩420M | ₩433M |
| − Capital spending | ₩905M | ₩597M | ₩303M | ₩530M | ₩506M | ₩496M | ₩498M | ₩513M |
| − Working capital | −₩3B | −₩2.8B | −₩1.6B | −₩313M | −₩187M | −₩79M | ₩19M | ₩117M |
| Free cash flow | −₩18M | ₩505M | ₩505M | −₩930M | −₩1,000M | −₩1.1B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩866M | −₩867M | −₩875M | −₩894M | −₩926M |
Terminal value −₩24B, worth −₩17B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,347 a share)Now 1.17× | ₩3,3871.01× | ₩4,4861.34× | ₩6,9192.07× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩22B
- Enterprise value
- ₩17B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.2×
- P/S
- 2.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,595 | ₩4,565 | ₩5,080 | ₩7,650 | ₩13,150 |
| Market cap | ₩20B | ₩26B | ₩29B | ₩43B | ₩75B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.3× | 1.2× | 1.7× | 2.9× |
| P/S | 1.9× | 2.1× | 2.5× | 3.2× | 6.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | 299.2× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samyoung S&C | — | 1.2× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Samyoung S&C / 삼영에스앤씨 / 361670 / KRX:361670
Source: KRX statistical information