ICH

368600 · KOSDAQ · ₩368600 · 아이씨에이치

₩5,050▼ ₩100 (1.94%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩407B
Equity value
−₩452B
WACC
5.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩5,050, the model needs an operating margin of 6.4% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −33.5% to −5.0% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 8.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 10.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 23%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.59, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩48B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩45B
Shares
5,159,083
Share price
₩5,050
Market cap
₩26B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩43B₩65B₩47B₩60B₩71B₩81B₩88B₩91B
Growth89.3%49.5%−27.4%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT−₩10B−₩3.2B−₩14B−₩12B−₩14B−₩16B−₩18B−₩18B
EBIT margin−23.3%−5.0%−30.9%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩7.3B−₩2.3B−₩11B−₩8.6B−₩10B−₩12B−₩13B−₩13B
+ Depreciation———₩5.1B₩6.1B₩7B₩7.6B₩7.8B
− Capital spending₩10B₩3.4B₩1.4B₩6.4B₩7.7B₩8.8B₩9.5B₩9.8B
− Working capital−₩2.1B−₩40M−₩14B₩2.7B₩2.7B₩2.3B₩1.6B₩608M
Free cash flow———−₩13B−₩15B−₩16B−₩16B−₩16B
Discount factor———0.9500.9020.8570.8130.773
Present value———−₩12B−₩13B−₩14B−₩13B−₩12B

Terminal value −₩444B, worth −₩343B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩6,223 a share)Now 0.81×₩4,5500.73×₩10,5761.70×₩15,1062.43×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.3%—————
4.8%—————
5.3%—————
5.8%—————
6.3%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩26B
Enterprise value
₩70B
P/E
—
P/B
0.8×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

2025202420232022
Price₩5,925₩13,579₩23,830₩30,709
Market cap₩31B₩70B₩123B₩158B
P/E————
P/B1.1×1.6×2.3×2.5×
P/S0.7×1.1×2.8×6.9×
EV/EBITDA————
Dividend yield0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
ICH—0.8×0.5×—0.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics96.8×9.5×7.8×—0.2%
Doosan39.2×5.5×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems71.2×2.8×3.0×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.1×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys35.4×8.3×5.4×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics44.8×7.0×5.0×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)42.0×6.3×4.0×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: ICH / 아이씨에이치 / 368600 / KRX:368600

Source: KRX statistical information