Yunsung F&C윤성에프앤씨
372170 · KOSDAQ · ₩372170 · 윤성에프앤씨
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩7,675
vs the current price (₩19,320)
- Enterprise value
- ₩36B
- Equity value
- ₩61B
- WACC
- 8.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 60% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩19,320, the model needs an operating margin of 12.2% every year (it uses 4.1%).
- Margins ranged from −31.6% to 15.3% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 23.1× against a typical 24.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,207
- −73.1%
- Base
- ₩7,675
- −60.3%
- Bull
- ₩12,263
- −36.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.1%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.74
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.61, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩123B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩17B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩7.9B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 7,979,048
- Share price
- ₩19,320
- Market cap
- ₩154B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩313B | ₩271B | ₩100B | ₩111B | ₩103B | ₩100B | ₩100B | ₩103B |
| Growth | 48.8% | −13.3% | −63.1% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩26B | ₩32B | −₩32B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.1B | ₩4.1B | ₩4.2B |
| EBIT margin | 8.5% | 11.8% | −31.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩19B | ₩23B | −₩23B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.1B | ₩3B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.3B | ₩4B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.9B | ₩4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩3.9B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.1B | ₩4.9B | ₩4.9B | ₩5B |
| − Working capital | ₩22B | ₩17B | −₩43B | −₩4.9B | −₩3B | −₩1.4B | −₩80M | ₩1.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩7.1B | ₩5B | ₩3.4B | ₩2B | ₩829M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.925 | 0.856 | 0.792 | 0.733 | 0.678 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6.6B | ₩4.3B | ₩2.7B | ₩1.5B | ₩562M |
Terminal value ₩31B, worth ₩21B today: 57% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩24,305 a share)Now 0.79× | ₩21,9500.90× | ₩39,7161.63× | ₩206,2478.49× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩837 a share)Now 23.1× | ₩6,9538.30× | ₩20,10024.0× | ₩41,82749.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩8,016 a share)Now 2.41× | ₩66,5478.30× | ₩192,38824.0× | ₩400,35349.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | ₩8,417 | ₩8,400 | ₩8,375 | ₩8,341 | ₩8,294 |
| 7.6% | ₩8,076 | ₩8,040 | ₩7,994 | ₩7,936 | ₩7,861 |
| 8.1% | ₩7,782 | ₩7,734 | ₩7,675 | ₩7,602 | ₩7,512 |
| 8.6% | ₩7,527 | ₩7,470 | ₩7,403 | ₩7,322 | ₩7,223 |
| 9.1% | ₩7,302 | ₩7,241 | ₩7,169 | ₩7,083 | ₩6,981 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩154B
- Enterprise value
- ₩137B
- P/E
- 23.1×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 1.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩29,600 | ₩35,450 | ₩113,000 | ₩44,400 |
| Market cap | ₩236B | ₩283B | ₩902B | ₩354B |
| P/E | — | 7.6× | 36.8× | 14.3× |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.4× | 5.6× | 2.6× |
| P/S | 2.4× | 1.0× | 2.9× | 1.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.3% | 0.6% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yunsung F&C | 23.1× | 0.8× | 1.3× | — | 0.4% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 193.9× | 4.3× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 78.4× | 23.3× | 31.6× | 70.6× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,058.2× | 13.0× | 34.0× | 2,036.0× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,137.6× | 53.0× | 156.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.1× | 6.4× | 10.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,622.5× | 911.6× | 733.9× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 626.0× | 18.1× | 32.8× | 1,053.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Yunsung F&C / 윤성에프앤씨 / 372170 / KRX:372170
Source: KRX statistical information