DL E&CDL이앤씨
375500 · KOSPI · ₩375500 · DL이앤씨
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩156,081
vs the current price (₩58,300)
- Enterprise value
- ₩4.8T
- Equity value
- ₩6.7T
- WACC
- 7.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 168% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩58,300, the model needs an operating margin of 0.8% every year (it uses 5.7%).
- Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩6.9T, operating profit ₩554B (8.0% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩7.1T, operating profit ₩564B (7.9% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Margins ranged from 3.3% to 12.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 42% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 4.0× against a typical 6.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩98,804
- +69.5%
- Base
- ₩156,081
- +167.7%
- Bull
- ₩252,451
- +333.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.7%).
Revenue growth
- -0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.69
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.53, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩7.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩1.1T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩822B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 42,919,459
- incl. 4,225,836 preferred
- Share price
- ₩58,300
- Market cap
- ₩2.4T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩8T | ₩8.3T | ₩7.4T | ₩7.1T | ₩7.1T | ₩7.2T | ₩7.4T | ₩7.6T |
| Growth | 6.6% | 4.1% | −11.0% | −0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩331B | ₩271B | ₩387B | ₩405B | ₩406B | ₩412B | ₩420B | ₩433B |
| EBIT margin | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩240B | ₩196B | ₩281B | ₩294B | ₩295B | ₩299B | ₩305B | ₩314B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩6B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.6B |
| − Working capital | −₩356B | −₩37B | ₩65B | −₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩4.1B | ₩6.7B | ₩9.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩288B | ₩286B | ₩287B | ₩291B | ₩297B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.927 | 0.859 | 0.796 | 0.738 | 0.684 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩267B | ₩246B | ₩229B | ₩214B | ₩203B |
Terminal value ₩5.3T, worth ₩3.6T today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩128,127 a share)Now 0.46× | ₩36,6880.29× | ₩46,2830.36× | ₩75,4850.59× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩14,481 a share)Now 4.03× | ₩48,6023.36× | ₩95,0766.57× | ₩166,21111.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩12,090 a share)Now 4.82× | ₩40,5763.36× | ₩79,3766.57× | ₩138,76511.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | ₩160,928 | ₩169,090 | ₩178,911 | ₩190,957 | ₩206,081 |
| 7.4% | ₩151,748 | ₩158,474 | ₩166,439 | ₩176,023 | ₩187,778 |
| 7.9% | ₩143,900 | ₩149,517 | ₩156,081 | ₩163,854 | ₩173,208 |
| 8.4% | ₩137,115 | ₩141,860 | ₩147,342 | ₩153,748 | ₩161,334 |
| 8.9% | ₩131,190 | ₩135,239 | ₩139,870 | ₩145,220 | ₩151,472 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2.3T
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- P/E
- 3.6×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩41,150 | ₩32,150 | ₩36,050 | ₩33,750 | ₩59,594 |
| Market cap | ₩1.6T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.3T | ₩2.3T |
| P/E | 4.3× | 5.4× | 7.4× | 3.2× | 4.0× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.2% | 1.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL E&C | 3.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.5% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 23.7× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.8% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.5× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| GS Engineering & Construction | 19.7× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.4× | 1.4× | 1.2× | 8.1× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.8× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.9% |
| LS Marine Solution | 125.4× | 2.2× | 5.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 19.7× | 1.3× | 0.6× | 8.1× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: DL E&C / DL이앤씨 / 375500 / KRX:375500
Source: KRX statistical information