picogram

376180 · KOSDAQ · ₩376180 · 피코그램

₩1,116▼ ₩47 (4.04%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩801

vs the current price (₩1,116)

Enterprise value
₩18B
Equity value
₩15B
WACC
6.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩262
−76.5%
Base
₩801
−28.2%
Bull
₩1,826
+63.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.1%).

Revenue growth

  • 1.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.39, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩28B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩3.4B
Shares
18,561,038
Share price
₩1,116
Market cap
₩21B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩28B₩32B₩31B₩28B₩28B₩29B₩30B₩31B
Growth−5.9%16.0%−4.0%1.6%1.9%2.3%2.6%3.0%
EBIT₩1.5B₩2.8B−₩704M₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.8B₩1.8B₩1.9B
EBIT margin5.5%8.8%−2.3%6.1%6.1%6.1%6.1%6.1%
After-tax EBIT₩1.1B₩2.1B−₩511M₩1.2B₩1.3B₩1.3B₩1.3B₩1.4B
+ Depreciation———₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.2B₩1.2B
− Capital spending₩573M₩2.8B₩1.1B₩1.3B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.5B
− Working capital₩9.8B−₩9.6B₩1.9B₩176M₩212M₩262M₩303M₩359M
Free cash flow———₩808M₩791M₩764M₩750M₩726M
Discount factor———0.9360.8760.8200.7670.718
Present value———₩757M₩693M₩627M₩575M₩521M

Terminal value ₩21B, worth ₩15B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,225 a share)Now 0.50×₩2,0660.93×₩3,5761.61×₩11,2725.07×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩338 a share)Now 3.30×₩1,9345.72×₩4,95314.6×₩19,85758.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.8%₩940₩996₩1,065₩1,155₩1,275
6.3%₩829₩869₩918₩978₩1,056
6.8%₩738₩767₩801₩842₩894
7.3%₩661₩682₩706₩735₩769
7.8%₩595₩610₩627₩647₩670

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩21B
Enterprise value
₩24B
P/E
—
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
9.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,310₩2,330₩5,500₩5,720₩3,720
Market cap₩43B₩43B₩102B₩106B₩69B
P/E—6.1×22.9×35.8×29.5×
P/B1.1×1.0×2.8×3.4×2.5×
P/S1.4×1.3×3.7×3.6×2.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield4.3%4.3%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
picogram—0.5×0.8×—9.0%
Spigen Korea3.3×0.3×0.4×—0.0%
Novatech3.4×0.7×2.5×—0.0%
Samick Musical Instruments2.2×0.3×0.4×—5.0%
Alux—1.8×1.0×—0.0%
Xplus—3.3×6.0×—0.0%
E-World—0.3×0.6×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)3.3×0.5×0.8×—0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: picogram / 피코그램 / 376180 / KRX:376180

Source: KRX statistical information