Refine

377450 · KOSDAQ · ₩377450 · 리파인

₩13,900▲ ₩180 (1.31%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩15,139

vs the current price (₩13,900)

Enterprise value
₩256B
Equity value
₩262B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩10,659
−23.3%
Base
₩15,139
+8.9%
Bull
₩22,420
+61.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (32.3%).

Revenue growth

  • 3.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 32.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 6.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 8.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩58B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩6.2B
+ Stakes and investments
₩47M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
17,330,000
Share price
₩13,900
Market cap
₩241B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩66B₩68B₩62B₩60B₩63B₩65B₩67B₩69B
Growth20.7%2.1%−9.3%3.8%3.6%3.4%3.2%3.0%
EBIT₩23B₩21B₩19B₩19B₩20B₩21B₩22B₩22B
EBIT margin33.9%30.2%30.8%32.3%32.3%32.3%32.3%32.3%
After-tax EBIT₩16B₩15B₩14B₩14B₩15B₩15B₩16B₩16B
+ Depreciation———₩4B₩4.2B₩4.3B₩4.5B₩4.6B
− Capital spending₩6B₩10B₩595M₩5B₩5.2B₩5.4B₩5.5B₩5.7B
− Working capital₩6.7B−₩10B₩158B₩884M₩869M₩850M₩827M₩800M
Free cash flow———₩12B₩13B₩13B₩14B₩14B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value———₩11B₩11B₩11B₩10B₩10B

Terminal value ₩288B, worth ₩203B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩13,220 a share)Now 1.05×₩11,8590.90×₩14,6801.11×₩19,8431.50×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩566 a share)Now 24.6×₩4,2377.48×₩5,94910.5×₩9,44516.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,117 a share)Now 12.4×₩8,3587.48×₩11,73410.5×₩18,63116.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩15,886₩17,108₩18,612₩20,506₩22,967
6.8%₩14,522₩15,507₩16,695₩18,156₩19,997
7.3%₩13,374₩14,182₩15,139₩16,293₩17,713
7.8%₩12,395₩13,066₩13,850₩14,780₩15,902
8.3%₩11,550₩12,114₩12,765₩13,527₩14,431

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩241B
Enterprise value
₩235B
P/E
24.6×
P/B
1.1×
P/S
4.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.9%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩12,330₩12,820₩8,700₩8,900₩14,350
Market cap₩214B₩222B₩151B₩154B₩249B
P/E23.6×10.8×7.0×8.7×14.7×
P/B1.0×1.3×1.0×1.1×1.8×
P/S3.5×3.3×2.3×2.8×4.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield2.1%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Refine24.6×1.1×4.1×—1.9%
NAVER13.1×0.9×2.0×—1.5%
Kakao37.7×1.1×1.6×—0.3%
Daou Technology1.9×0.4×0.0×—5.6%
NICE Information Service11.3×2.0×1.6×6.6×3.0%
Kinx24.4×2.7×3.5×10.7×0.5%
Cafe2411.5×1.5×1.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)12.3×1.3×1.6×6.6×1.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Refine / 리파인 / 377450 / KRX:377450

Source: KRX statistical information