Onejoon원준
382840 · KOSDAQ · ₩382840 · 원준
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,112
vs the current price (₩4,530)
- Enterprise value
- ₩18B
- Equity value
- ₩78B
- WACC
- 9.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩4,555
- +0.5%
- Base
- ₩5,112
- +12.8%
- Bull
- ₩6,006
- +32.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.0%).
Revenue growth
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.94
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.91, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩32B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩45B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩15B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 15,271,581
- Share price
- ₩4,530
- Market cap
- ₩69B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩137B | ₩150B | ₩149B | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B |
| Growth | −4.2% | 9.2% | −0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.6B | ₩12B | ₩7B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B |
| EBIT margin | 3.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.4B | ₩9B | ₩5.1B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩130M | ₩132M | ₩135M | ₩139M | ₩143M |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.1B | ₩90M | ₩868M | ₩162M | ₩165M | ₩169M | ₩173M | ₩179M |
| − Working capital | −₩16B | ₩21B | −₩26B | ₩78M | ₩101M | ₩126M | ₩152M | ₩180M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.915 | 0.837 | 0.766 | 0.701 | 0.642 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.2B | ₩1.1B | ₩1B | ₩927M | ₩858M |
Terminal value ₩20B, worth ₩13B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,724 a share)Now 0.79× | ₩5,6991.00× | ₩9,7321.70× | ₩22,2343.88× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3% | ₩5,189 | ₩5,240 | ₩5,299 | ₩5,367 | ₩5,449 |
| 8.8% | ₩5,107 | ₩5,150 | ₩5,198 | ₩5,254 | ₩5,320 |
| 9.3% | ₩5,035 | ₩5,071 | ₩5,112 | ₩5,158 | ₩5,211 |
| 9.8% | ₩4,972 | ₩5,002 | ₩5,036 | ₩5,075 | ₩5,119 |
| 10.3% | ₩4,915 | ₩4,941 | ₩4,970 | ₩5,002 | ₩5,039 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩69B
- Enterprise value
- ₩23B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 2.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,680 | ₩9,480 | ₩18,270 | ₩16,500 | ₩33,595 |
| Market cap | ₩117B | ₩145B | ₩279B | ₩252B | ₩513B |
| P/E | — | 38.7× | 49.9× | 16.6× | 76.5× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.2× | 2.3× | 2.3× | 5.3× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 1.0× | 2.0× | 1.8× | 8.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 2.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onejoon | — | 0.8× | 2.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 1,116.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Onejoon / 원준 / 382840 / KRX:382840
Source: KRX statistical information