Cmtx씨엠티엑스
388210 · KOSDAQ · ₩388210 · 씨엠티엑스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩81,617
vs the current price (₩61,800)
- Enterprise value
- ₩744B
- Equity value
- ₩788B
- WACC
- 7.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩58,243
- −5.8%
- Base
- ₩81,617
- +32.1%
- Bull
- ₩118,567
- +91.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (31.7%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 31.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.64
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 49 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.46, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩175B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩51B
- − Minority interests
- ₩6.8B
- Shares
- 9,654,438
- Share price
- ₩61,800
- Market cap
- ₩597B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩161B | ₩180B | ₩186B | ₩191B | ₩197B | ₩203B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩52B | ₩57B | ₩59B | ₩61B | ₩63B | ₩64B |
| EBIT margin | 32.3% | 31.7% | 31.7% | 31.7% | 31.7% | 31.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩38B | ₩41B | ₩43B | ₩44B | ₩45B | ₩47B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩5.4B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.1B |
| − Capital spending | — | ₩7.2B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.7B | ₩7.9B | ₩8.1B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩258M | ₩265M | ₩273M | ₩281M | ₩290M |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩42B | ₩43B | ₩44B |
| Discount factor | — | 0.929 | 0.863 | 0.802 | 0.745 | 0.692 |
| Present value | — | ₩37B | ₩35B | ₩34B | ₩32B | ₩31B |
Terminal value ₩831B, worth ₩576B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | ₩84,469 | ₩90,777 | ₩98,448 | ₩107,976 | ₩120,129 |
| 7.1% | ₩77,850 | ₩83,026 | ₩89,211 | ₩96,731 | ₩106,072 |
| 7.6% | ₩72,232 | ₩76,542 | ₩81,617 | ₩87,681 | ₩95,054 |
| 8.1% | ₩67,404 | ₩71,038 | ₩75,264 | ₩80,240 | ₩86,186 |
| 8.6% | ₩63,211 | ₩66,307 | ₩69,871 | ₩74,015 | ₩78,894 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩597B
- Enterprise value
- ₩545B
- P/E
- 14.0×
- P/B
- 2.9×
- P/S
- 3.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩99,900 |
| Market cap | ₩964B |
| P/E | — |
| P/B | 5.4× |
| P/S | 6.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cmtx | 14.0× | 2.9× | 3.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 89.0× | 8.8× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 36.8× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 67.9× | 2.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.4× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 32.5× | 7.6× | 5.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 41.5× | 6.5× | 4.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 39.2× | 5.8× | 3.8× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Cmtx / 씨엠티엑스 / 388210 / KRX:388210
Source: KRX statistical information