Udmtek

389680 · KOSDAQ · ₩389680 · 유디엠텍

₩2,910▲ ₩15 (0.52%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩6

vs the current price (₩2,910)

Enterprise value
−₩7.7B
Equity value
₩54M
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 100% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,910, the model needs an operating margin of 46.6% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩183
−93.7%
Base
₩6
−99.8%
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 6.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -0.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 101 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩3.4B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩7.6B
+ Stakes and investments
₩162M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
8,320,693
Share price
₩2,910
Market cap
₩24B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩6.1B₩3.2B₩3.1B₩2.9B₩2.8B₩2.8B₩2.9B
Growth—−47.1%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩2B−₩3.6B−₩617M−₩575M−₩555M−₩554M−₩571M
EBIT margin−33.1%−113.5%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.5B−₩2.6B−₩447M−₩417M−₩403M−₩402M−₩414M
+ Depreciation₩127M₩199M₩126M₩118M₩114M₩114M₩117M
− Capital spending₩180M₩330M₩204M₩190M₩183M₩183M₩188M
− Working capital—₩16M₩3.1M₩1.9M₩906,289₩49,975−₩748,131
Free cash flow−₩1.5B−₩2.8B−₩527M−₩491M−₩473M−₩471M−₩484M
Discount factor——0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value——−₩491M−₩426M−₩382M−₩355M−₩340M

Terminal value −₩8.1B, worth −₩5.7B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%—————
6.8%₩53————
7.3%₩120₩68₩6——
7.8%₩177₩134₩83₩22—
8.3%₩227₩190₩147₩97₩38

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩24B
Enterprise value
₩17B
P/E
—
P/B
2.6×
P/S
7.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024
Price₩2,540₩3,445
Market cap₩21B₩29B
P/E——
P/B2.0×2.2×
P/S6.6×4.7×
EV/EBITDA——
Dividend yield0.0%—

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Udmtek—2.6×7.1×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever46.8×4.7×2.0×—0.6%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC6.9×1.2×2.0×8.3×0.6%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.0×3.0×5.1×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.4×1.5×2.0×6.7×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Udmtek / 유디엠텍 / 389680 / KRX:389680

Source: KRX statistical information