Udmtek유디엠텍
389680 · KOSDAQ · ₩389680 · 유디엠텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩6
vs the current price (₩2,910)
- Enterprise value
- −₩7.7B
- Equity value
- ₩54M
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 100% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,910, the model needs an operating margin of 46.6% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩183
- −93.7%
- Base
- ₩6
- −99.8%
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (-47.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -0.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 101 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩3.4B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩7.6B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩162M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 8,320,693
- Share price
- ₩2,910
- Market cap
- ₩24B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩6.1B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.1B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B |
| Growth | — | −47.1% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩2B | −₩3.6B | −₩617M | −₩575M | −₩555M | −₩554M | −₩571M |
| EBIT margin | −33.1% | −113.5% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.5B | −₩2.6B | −₩447M | −₩417M | −₩403M | −₩402M | −₩414M |
| + Depreciation | ₩127M | ₩199M | ₩126M | ₩118M | ₩114M | ₩114M | ₩117M |
| − Capital spending | ₩180M | ₩330M | ₩204M | ₩190M | ₩183M | ₩183M | ₩188M |
| − Working capital | — | ₩16M | ₩3.1M | ₩1.9M | ₩906,289 | ₩49,975 | −₩748,131 |
| Free cash flow | −₩1.5B | −₩2.8B | −₩527M | −₩491M | −₩473M | −₩471M | −₩484M |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | −₩491M | −₩426M | −₩382M | −₩355M | −₩340M |
Terminal value −₩8.1B, worth −₩5.7B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.8% | ₩53 | — | — | — | — |
| 7.3% | ₩120 | ₩68 | ₩6 | — | — |
| 7.8% | ₩177 | ₩134 | ₩83 | ₩22 | — |
| 8.3% | ₩227 | ₩190 | ₩147 | ₩97 | ₩38 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩24B
- Enterprise value
- ₩17B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 2.6×
- P/S
- 7.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,540 | ₩3,445 |
| Market cap | ₩21B | ₩29B |
| P/E | — | — |
| P/B | 2.0× | 2.2× |
| P/S | 6.6× | 4.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udmtek | — | 2.6× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 46.8× | 4.7× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 6.9× | 1.2× | 2.0× | 8.3× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.0× | 3.0× | 5.1× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.7× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Udmtek / 유디엠텍 / 389680 / KRX:389680
Source: KRX statistical information