W-Scope Chungju Plant더블유씨피
393890 · KOSDAQ · ₩393890 · 더블유씨피
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩494B
- Equity value
- −₩1.4T
- WACC
- 5.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,400, the model needs an operating margin of 51.0% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- Margins ranged from −115.2% to 22.5% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 32.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.86
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.8, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩135B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩886B
- Shares
- 34,292,708
- Share price
- ₩8,400
- Market cap
- ₩288B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩305B | ₩322B | ₩111B | ₩122B | ₩114B | ₩110B | ₩110B | ₩113B |
| Growth | 18.5% | 5.6% | −65.6% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩46B | −₩71B | −₩128B | −₩24B | −₩23B | −₩22B | −₩22B | −₩23B |
| EBIT margin | 15.2% | −22.0% | −115.2% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩34B | −₩51B | −₩93B | −₩18B | −₩16B | −₩16B | −₩16B | −₩16B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3.7B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩4.9B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.5B |
| − Working capital | −₩51B | ₩25B | −₩77B | −₩4.4B | −₩2.6B | −₩1.3B | −₩71M | ₩1.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩15B | −₩15B | −₩16B | −₩17B | −₩19B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.950 | 0.903 | 0.858 | 0.815 | 0.775 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩14B | −₩14B | −₩13B | −₩14B | −₩14B |
Terminal value −₩549B, worth −₩425B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩26,326 a share)Now 0.32× | ₩6,9250.26× | ₩16,2450.62× | ₩47,2021.79× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩94 a share)Now 88.9× | ₩2,03521.5× | ₩2,95631.3× | ₩6,06764.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩288B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.2T
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 2.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩6,240 | ₩11,090 | ₩44,500 | ₩40,350 |
| Market cap | ₩214B | ₩380B | ₩1.5T | ₩1.4T |
| P/E | — | — | 28.5× | 25.0× |
| P/B | 0.2× | 0.4× | 1.5× | 1.5× |
| P/S | 1.9× | 1.2× | 5.0× | 5.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W-Scope Chungju Plant | — | 0.3× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| LG Energy Solution | — | 4.1× | 3.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung SDI | 1,143.1× | 1.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.0% |
| POSCO Future M | 337.2× | 3.6× | 5.2× | — | 0.1% |
| Ecopro BM | 218.1× | 5.3× | 4.1× | — | 0.1% |
| L&F | — | 4.7× | 1.3× | 15.8× | 0.0% |
| DN Automotive | 6.1× | 1.0× | 0.6× | — | 2.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 277.6× | 3.8× | 3.3× | 15.8× | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: W-Scope Chungju Plant / 더블유씨피 / 393890 / KRX:393890
Source: KRX statistical information