W-Scope Chungju Plant

393890 · KOSDAQ · ₩393890 · 더블유씨피

₩8,400▲ ₩400 (5.00%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩494B
Equity value
−₩1.4T
WACC
5.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩8,400, the model needs an operating margin of 51.0% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −115.2% to 22.5% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-24.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 32.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.86

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.8, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩135B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩886B
Shares
34,292,708
Share price
₩8,400
Market cap
₩288B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩305B₩322B₩111B₩122B₩114B₩110B₩110B₩113B
Growth18.5%5.6%−65.6%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩46B−₩71B−₩128B−₩24B−₩23B−₩22B−₩22B−₩23B
EBIT margin15.2%−22.0%−115.2%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT₩34B−₩51B−₩93B−₩18B−₩16B−₩16B−₩16B−₩16B
+ Depreciation———₩3.7B₩3.4B₩3.3B₩3.3B₩3.4B
− Capital spending———₩4.9B₩4.5B₩4.4B₩4.4B₩4.5B
− Working capital−₩51B₩25B−₩77B−₩4.4B−₩2.6B−₩1.3B−₩71M₩1.1B
Free cash flow———−₩15B−₩15B−₩16B−₩17B−₩19B
Discount factor———0.9500.9030.8580.8150.775
Present value———−₩14B−₩14B−₩13B−₩14B−₩14B

Terminal value −₩549B, worth −₩425B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩26,326 a share)Now 0.32×₩6,9250.26×₩16,2450.62×₩47,2021.79×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩94 a share)Now 88.9×₩2,03521.5×₩2,95631.3×₩6,06764.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.2%—————
4.7%—————
5.2%—————
5.7%—————
6.2%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩288B
Enterprise value
₩1.2T
P/E
—
P/B
0.3×
P/S
2.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

2025202420232022
Price₩6,240₩11,090₩44,500₩40,350
Market cap₩214B₩380B₩1.5T₩1.4T
P/E——28.5×25.0×
P/B0.2×0.4×1.5×1.5×
P/S1.9×1.2×5.0×5.4×
EV/EBITDA————
Dividend yield0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
W-Scope Chungju Plant—0.3×2.1×—0.0%
LG Energy Solution—4.1×3.5×—0.0%
Samsung SDI1,143.1×1.8×3.0×—0.0%
POSCO Future M337.2×3.6×5.2×—0.1%
Ecopro BM218.1×5.3×4.1×—0.1%
L&F—4.7×1.3×15.8×0.0%
DN Automotive6.1×1.0×0.6×—2.5%
Similar companies (median)277.6×3.8×3.3×15.8×0.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: W-Scope Chungju Plant / 더블유씨피 / 393890 / KRX:393890

Source: KRX statistical information