RecensMedical

394420 · KOSDAQ · ₩394420 · 리센스메디컬

₩5,320▼ ₩280 (5.00%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩20B
Equity value
−₩23B
WACC
9.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩5,320, the model needs an operating margin of 70.9% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 7.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 9.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 1.05

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 30 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩8.8B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩2.3B
Shares
10,999,701
Share price
₩5,320
Market cap
₩59B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩8.8B₩9.1B₩9.4B₩9.6B₩9.9B₩10B
Growth—3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
EBIT−₩11B−₩1.8B−₩1.9B−₩1.9B−₩2B−₩2B
EBIT margin−120.5%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩7.7B−₩1.3B−₩1.4B−₩1.4B−₩1.4B−₩1.5B
+ Depreciation—₩664M₩684M₩704M₩725M₩747M
− Capital spending₩807M₩828M₩852M₩878M₩904M₩931M
− Working capital—₩106M₩109M₩112M₩116M₩119M
Free cash flow—−₩1.6B−₩1.6B−₩1.7B−₩1.7B−₩1.8B
Discount factor—0.9120.8320.7590.6920.631
Present value—−₩1.4B−₩1.4B−₩1.3B−₩1.2B−₩1.1B

Terminal value −₩22B, worth −₩14B today: 68% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
8.6%—————
9.1%—————
9.6%—————
10.1%—————
10.6%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩59B
Enterprise value
₩60B
P/E
—
P/B
2.9×
P/S
6.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

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Loading data for this company — check back soon

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
RecensMedical—2.9×6.6×—0.0%
TSE27.5×6.1×5.1×—0.2%
Kctech22.1×3.4×4.1×17.1×0.5%
Classys12.7×3.2×4.7×9.9×3.7%
Park Systems69.0×4.7×8.2×—0.2%
DI42.2×5.8×2.6×—0.6%
Curiox Biosystems—21.3×182.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.5×5.3×4.9×13.5×0.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: RecensMedical / 리센스메디컬 / 394420 / KRX:394420

Source: KRX statistical information