Mirae Asset Global REIT미래에셋글로벌리츠
396690 · KOSPI · ₩396690 · 미래에셋글로벌리츠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,955
vs the current price (₩710)
- Enterprise value
- ₩24B
- Equity value
- ₩77B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 175% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩710, the model needs an operating margin of −15.7% every year (it uses 16.0%).
- Margins ranged from −20.6% to 37.7% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,731
- +143.7%
- Base
- ₩1,955
- +175.3%
- Bull
- ₩2,323
- +227.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (16.0%).
Revenue growth
- 0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 16%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩11B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩16B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩37B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩295M
- Shares
- 39,605,940
- Share price
- ₩710
- Market cap
- ₩28B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| Growth | 4.8% | 1.6% | −4.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.4B | ₩4.2B | −₩2.5B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B |
| EBIT margin | 35.2% | 33.3% | −20.6% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.2B | ₩3.1B | −₩1.8B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩340M | ₩344M | ₩351M | ₩359M | ₩370M |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩454M | ₩459M | ₩468M | ₩479M | ₩493M |
| − Working capital | ₩191M | −₩2.4B | −₩116B | −₩6.8M | −₩14M | −₩21M | −₩28M | −₩36M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1B | ₩978M | ₩944M |
Terminal value ₩27B, worth ₩19B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,610 a share)Now 0.20× | ₩1,5490.43× | ₩2,6440.73× | ₩5,1491.43× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩1,972 | ₩2,029 | ₩2,099 | ₩2,187 | ₩2,303 |
| 6.8% | ₩1,917 | ₩1,963 | ₩2,019 | ₩2,088 | ₩2,175 |
| 7.3% | ₩1,870 | ₩1,909 | ₩1,955 | ₩2,010 | ₩2,078 |
| 7.8% | ₩1,831 | ₩1,863 | ₩1,901 | ₩1,946 | ₩2,000 |
| 8.3% | ₩1,797 | ₩1,824 | ₩1,856 | ₩1,893 | ₩1,938 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩28B
- Enterprise value
- ₩12B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 2.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 20.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,580 | ₩2,585 | ₩2,700 | ₩3,700 |
| Market cap | ₩102B | ₩102B | ₩107B | ₩147B |
| P/E | — | — | 43.5× | 73.2× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 8.4× | 8.0× | 8.5× | 12.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 5.5% | 5.1% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirae Asset Global REIT | — | 0.2× | 2.5× | — | 20.0% |
| SK Reit | 48.8× | 0.8× | 22.5× | — | 1.3% |
| Lotte Reit | 58.5× | 1.1× | 16.1× | — | 2.8% |
| Hanwha Reit | 64.5× | 1.4× | 15.8× | 44.1× | 2.7% |
| ESR Kendall Square Reit | 1,170.6× | 0.7× | 11.5× | 73.2× | 4.6% |
| Shinhan Alpha REIT | 97.6× | 1.2× | 8.0× | 34.3× | 3.0% |
| SamsungFN Reit | 144.5× | 1.1× | 36.2× | — | 1.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 81.1× | 1.1× | 15.9× | 44.1× | 2.7% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Mirae Asset Global REIT / 미래에셋글로벌리츠 / 396690 / KRX:396690
Source: KRX statistical information